Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 18, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: PayPal Park
Game Overview
The San Jose Earthquakes host Austin FC in a crucial MLS match. San Jose must win to keep their playoff hopes alive, while Austin FC aims to strengthen their sixth-place standing in the Western Conference.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose Earthquakes are currently 11th in the MLS Western Conference with 38 points, while Austin FC is sixth with 47 points. San Jose needs a win combined with other favorable results to have a chance at the playoffs.
- In their last meeting on Decision Day 2023, San Jose drew 1-1 against Austin at home to secure a playoff spot. More recently, Austin won a match against San Jose.
- No specific injury reports are highlighted for this match, but San Jose might face challenges if any key players are injured.
- The match is part of Decision Day, adding pressure for both teams to produce a strong performance.
- San Jose is highly motivated to win and keep their playoff hopes alive, while Austin FC, though secure in sixth place, will want to end the season on a high note.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -115 for San Jose, 265 for Austin, 300 for Draw | San Jose Earthquakes to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | -0.5 for San Jose (-120), 50 for Austin (-110) | San Jose Earthquakes to cover | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5 (+116), Under 3.5 (-154) | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose Earthquakes 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes are likely to win given their need for a playoff spot and home advantage.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of San Jose Earthquakes