Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: PayPal Park
Game Overview
San Jose Earthquakes host Austin FC in the closing match of the MLS regular season. San Jose enters as slight favorites at home, supported by better recent form and Austin's injury absences. The match is expected to be competitive but with a moderate chance for goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose Earthquakes have shown more consistent results at home, recently trending positively. Austin FC have struggled offensively due to key absences and mixed recent form.
- Recent meetings between these teams have been tightly contested with few clear dominant trends, but San Jose has an edge in home encounters.
- Austin FC will miss key forwards Diego Rubio (hamstring) and Brandon Vazquez (knee) and have Osman Bukari questionable, which limits their attacking options. San Jose has no major absences reported.
- Match played under typical conditions with no unusual environmental factors. The season finale nature may influence motivation differently for both sides.
- San Jose Earthquakes motivated to secure a strong finish at home and potentially improve playoff positioning. Austin FC may be limited in motivation due to squad constraints and season status.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Jose Earthquakes: -115, Draw: 300, Austin FC: 265 | San Jose Earthquakes | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | San Jose Earthquakes -0.5: -120, Austin FC +50: -110 | San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: 116, Under 3.5: -154 | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Jose Earthquakes 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: San Jose Earthquakes at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes to win on the moneyline, covering a -0.5 spread, with the match under 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1