Match Analysis: Saint Etienne vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 3 May 2025
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Geoffroy Guichard, Saint Etienne, France
Game Overview
Saint-Étienne (17th, 27 points) faces AS Monaco (2nd) in a critical Ligue 1 match. Saint-Étienne is three points from safety with three matches remaining, while Monaco aims to solidify its Champions League qualification position.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saint-Étienne has struggled recently, while Monaco has won 3 of its last 5 matches (including a 3-0 win over Marseille)[5].
- Data for the current season's head-to-head is unspecified in available records[3], but Monaco's superior squad suggests historical dominance.
- No injury data available in provided sources.
- Relegation pressure for Saint-Étienne increases urgency, while Monaco's away form remains strong[5].
- Saint-Étienne faces existential stakes; Monaco seeks to maintain momentum for European competition.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Monaco -230 | Draw 440 | Saint-Étienne 500 | AS Monaco | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Monaco -1.25 (-118) | Saint-Étienne +1.25 (-102) | Monaco -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 (-118) | Under 3.5 (-102) | Over 3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco to win with a high-scoring game likely due to defensive vulnerabilities from Saint-Étienne.
Predicted Score: 1-3 (AS Monaco)