Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 4 May 2025
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde, Portugal
Game Overview
Rio Ave (13th) faces CF Estrela Amadora (15th) in a mid-table Primeira Liga clash. Both teams are separated by only two positions, suggesting a closely contested match. Rio Ave has played Estrela once this season, though historical H2H data remains unspecified in available sources[1][4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Rio Ave holds a marginal edge in league positioning (13th vs 15th). Form analysis is unavailable from provided data, but proximity in standings indicates similar seasonal performance[1][4].
- The teams have met once this season; additional historical H2H data is not provided in the search results[1][4].
- No injury reports available from search results.
- Home advantage for Rio Ave at Estadio dos Arcos, a critical factor in closely matched fixtures[1].
- Both teams likely aim to secure points to avoid relegation scrap, given their positions near the lower mid-table[1][5].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Rio Ave FC: 135 | Draw: 215 | CF Estrela: 200 | Rio Ave FC | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Rio Ave FC -0.25 (105) | CF Estrela +25 (-125) | Rio Ave FC covers -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 (-120) | Under 2.25 (100) | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Rio Ave FC 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rio Ave demonstrates slight superiority via league position and home advantage, but Estrela's underdog status (higher win odds) suggests potential for an upset or tight contest. Expect a low-scoring game given implied probabilities.
Predicted Score: 1-0 Rio Ave FC