Match Analysis: Rennes vs Strasbourg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Roazhon Park
Game Overview
Rennes hosts Strasbourg at Roazhon Park for a decisive Ligue 1 fixture. Rennes shows mixed recent form at home with draws and losses but benefits from home advantage. Strasbourg sits higher in the standings, with better recent performance including a dominant 3-0 win in their last match and being the league's top clean sheet team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rennes is mid-table with 12 points from 10 matches (2W-6D-2L), struggling for wins recently but strong at home. Strasbourg stands 3rd with 19 points from 8 matches (5W-0D-2L) and coming off a 3-0 win, showing strong offense and the best defensive record (5 clean sheets). Offensively, Strasbourg's JoaquΓn Panichelli leads scorers with 8 goals.
- Recent encounters show no draws in last three matches between Rennes and Strasbourg, indicating competitive battles with clear results. The sides have scored a combined 20 goals in the last 5 head-to-head matches, suggesting an open game.
- No prominent injury reports for either side affecting key players prior to the match. Rennes's DΓ©sirΓ© DouΓ© has an injury from a PSG match but is not confirmed to impact Rennes. No significant suspensions reported.
- Rennes benefits from home support and familiarity with Roazhon Park. There are no reported weather or situational factors negatively impacting the match. Strasbourg has momentum from recent Ligue 1 performances and strong team morale.
- Strasbourg aims to consolidate their top 3 position and keep pressure on league leaders, fueled by excellent form. Rennes seeks to improve their inconsistent results and capitalize on home advantage to secure crucial points for upper table positioning.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rennes: 1.28, Strasbourg: 1.9, Draw: 2.55 | Rennes to win | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Rennes -0.25: 1, Strasbourg +25: 83 | Rennes -0.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: 87, Under 2.75: 95 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rennes 41% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Rennes at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match with Rennes slightly favored due to home advantage and competitive history. Expect Rennes to win or at least take an early lead with good chances for both sides to score. The prediction leans towards Rennes to win the match, with a high probability of goals exceeding 2.5.
Predicted Score: 2-1