Match Analysis: Red Star Belgrade vs Celtic – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-24
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić
Game Overview
The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Red Star Belgrade and Celtic is set at Red Star's home ground, with both teams seeking a positive start. Red Star has demonstrated strong recent form at home, while Celtic struggles in away European fixtures.
Key Factors to Consider
- Red Star has lost only one of their last 13 matches across all competitions and won a recent derby 2-1. Celtic has failed to win multiple recent away European games and scored one or fewer goals in half of their last six matches.
- Recent direct meetings have been competitive, but Celtic historically struggles on the road in Europe, failing to win their last 13 away European matches, whilst Red Star maintains strong home resilience.
- No notable key injuries reported for either side ahead of the match.
- Playing at the Stadion Rajko Mitić offers Red Star a significant home advantage. Celtic faces travel pressures and is historically weaker away from home in European competitions.
- Both teams are motivated to start their Europa League campaigns positively; however, Red Star's home form and recent derby win provide stronger confidence compared to Celtic's recent struggles on the continent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Red Star Belgrade: +176, Celtic: +151, Draw: +245 | Red Star Belgrade | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Red Star Belgrade 0: -109, Celtic 0: -121 | Red Star Belgrade 0 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -128, Under 2.5: -102 | Over 2.5 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Red Star Belgrade 44% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Red Star Belgrade at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Red Star Belgrade to win on the moneyline, -0 spread for Red Star Belgrade, and Over 2.5 goals in the match.
Predicted Score: 2-1