Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Mallorca – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-24
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Municipal de Anoeta
Game Overview
Real Sociedad hosts Mallorca in La Liga, with Real Sociedad looking to bounce back from a challenging start and Mallorca struggling on the road with no wins so far.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Sociedad holds a 0-2-3 record this season, earning 2 points, with an undefeated home points tally of 1; Mallorca has a 0-1-3 record and zero points away from home, indicating weaker away form.
- Real Sociedad has dominated historically with 15 wins in the last 20 home meetings vs Mallorca; most common result is a 1-0 victory for Real Sociedad.
- No significant injury updates reported impacting starting lineups for either side.
- Match played at Real Sociedadβs home stadium provides home advantage; no adverse weather or extreme external issues identified.
- Real Sociedad motivated to improve home form and gain points early in season; Mallorca under pressure due to poor away form and no points earned on road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Real Sociedad -133, Mallorca +390, Draw +255 | Real Sociedad | β β β β β 73% |
Spread | Real Sociedad -0.75 -102, Mallorca +75 -118 | Real Sociedad -0.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Sociedad 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Sociedad to win the moneyline, with a spread on Real Sociedad -0.75, and the match to go under 2.25 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0