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Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastian, Spain

Game Overview

Real Sociedad, currently ranked 10th in La Liga, faces Athletic Bilbao, ranked 4th. The match is pivotal for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league. Real Sociedad seeks to climb the rankings, while Athletic Bilbao looks to maintain its top-four spot.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Sociedad has shown inconsistent form, while Athletic Bilbao has demonstrated more consistency, sitting higher in the league table. Both teams have the potential to score, but defense could be key.
  • Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested. Athletic Bilbao's recent performances might give them a slight edge in terms of confidence and form.
  • No specific information is available regarding current injuries for this match. Injuries could impact team dynamics and player availability.
  • The home advantage might benefit Real Sociedad, but Athletic Bilbao's form suggests they are capable of securing results away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Real Sociedad aiming to climb the table and Athletic Bilbao seeking to secure a Champions League spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 205, Real Sociedad: 150, Draw: 215 Draw or Athletic Bilbao, as both teams are closely matched. ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 25 -134, Real Sociedad: -0.25 112 Real Sociedad to cover, given home advantage. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -112, Under: 2 -108 Under 2 goals, given both teams' defensive capabilities. ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Sociedad at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match could be tightly contested, with both teams looking for a vital win. Given Athletic Bilbao's recent form and higher league position, they might have a slight edge, though neither team is clear favorite.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


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Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-04 Time: 7:00 PM UTC Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastian, Spain Game Overview Real Sociedad, currently ranked 10th in La Liga, faces Athletic Bilbao, ranked 4th. The match is pivotal for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league. […]

Athletic Bilbao May 4, 2025 Real Sociedad Soccer

MORE FROM LA-LIGA

Espanyol vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium

Game Overview

Espanyol hosts Real Betis in a crucial La Liga match on May 4, 2025. Both teams have had mixed seasons but will be looking to secure points for different reasons: Espanyol to avoid relegation and Betis to maintain their pursuit of European spots.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol has shown resilience at home, while Real Betis has been inconsistent away from their own stadium.
  • Historically, matches between the two teams have been closely contested, with both teams having some victories.
  • Current injury lists are not fully disclosed, but any major absences could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions could affect the pace of the game, with potential rain influencing ball control and tempo.
  • Betis has more motivation to win as they are still contending for a European place, whereas Espanyol fights to secure a mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 225, Real Betis: 140, Draw: 210 Betis Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Espanyol: 25 -122, Real Betis: -0.25 102 Betis to cover spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Betis at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Betis's motivation and slight edge in recent performances, they have a slight advantage in this match.

Predicted Score: 1-1 or 0-1 in favor of Betis


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Sevilla vs. Leganés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Leganés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 4, 2025
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

This match between Sevilla and Leganés is a La Liga fixture. Sevilla, currently ranked 15th, faces Leganés, who are 19th. Given Sevilla's home advantage, they are favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla, being at home and having a higher league ranking, is generally performing better than Leganés. However, recent form for both teams could influence the outcome.
  • Historical matchups between Sevilla and Leganés typically favor Sevilla due to their higher league position and home advantage.
  • Injury reports for both teams are crucial but not specified. Generally, teams with fewer injuries tend to perform better.
  • External factors like weather and crowd support may influence the game, but specific details are not available.
  • Motivation can play a role, especially if either team needs points for league survival or advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla -125, Leganés 390, Draw 245 Sevilla win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Sevilla -0.5 -122, Leganés +50 102 Sevilla cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 -112, Under 2 -108 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sevilla at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla is expected to win due to home advantage and higher league standing.

Predicted Score: Sevilla 2-1 Leganés


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Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 4 May 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Real Madrid (2nd in La Liga) hosts Celta Vigo (7th) in a match with significant implications for European qualification. Madrid’s attacking strength (66 goals scored vs Celta’s 50) and home advantage at the Bernabéu make them favorites, while Celta’s mid-table security could influence their defensive approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid has superior offensive stats (66 GF vs 50 GF, 198 SOG vs 150 SOG) and defensive stability (30 GA vs 47 GA, 13 clean sheets vs 7). Kylian Mbappé (22 goals) leads Madrid’s attack against Iago Aspas (9 goals) for Celta.
  • Real Madrid holds historical dominance over Celta Vigo, with recent results favoring Madrid. Data indicates Madrid won their previous encounter this season (specific score unavailable in search results).
  • No injury reports found in available data, but Real Madrid’s squad depth is superior.
  • Weather conditions expected at kickoff (historical data for early May Madrid): ~69°F, minimal precipitation. No significant travel disruptions reported.
  • Madrid likely fighting for title contention (2nd place), while Celta (7th) may prioritize maintaining position over European push.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo: +600, Real Madrid: -280, Draw: +475 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Celta Vigo: +1.5 (-112), Real Madrid: -1.5 (-108) Real Madrid to cover -1.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 3.5 (-105), Under: 3.5 (-115) Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid victory with a high-scoring match due to attacking quality and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Real Madrid


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Valladolid vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valladolid vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: José Zorrilla, Valladolid, Spain

Game Overview

Barcelona (1st in La Liga) face already-relegated Real Valladolid (20th) in a match where the Catalans aim to solidify their title push, while Valladolid play for pride.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona dominates La Liga with a strong attack/defense record. Valladolid has the league's worst defense (81 conceded) and attack (24 goals scored), including a 7-game losing streak[5].
  • Barcelona won the reverse fixture 7-0 this season, avenging a 3-1 loss in 2022-23[5].
  • No specific injury data provided but likely minimal impact on Barcelona's rotated squad against weakened opposition.
  • Valladolid's confirmed relegation reduces home-field pressure, while Barcelona benefits from title-chasing urgency.
  • Barcelona requires points to maintain their 4-point lead over Real Madrid. Valladolid's players audition for future roles post-relegation[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona -625 | Valladolid +1200 | Draw +800 Barcelona Moneyline ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Barcelona -2.25 (-120) Barcelona covers -2.25 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 4 (-112) | Under 4 (-108) Over 4 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona will dominate possession and exploit Valladolid's porous defense. Expect a high-scoring match favoring Barça's attacking quality.

Predicted Score: 0-4 (Barcelona)


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Las Palmas vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Las Palmas vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria

Game Overview

Las Palmas (18th) hosts Valencia (14th) in a critical La Liga clash. Both teams are separated by a narrow margin in the lower-mid table, with Las Palmas needing points to escape relegation danger and Valencia aiming to secure safety.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Las Palmas has conceded 53 goals (1.61 per game) and kept 4 clean sheets. Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities are evident but their attacking threat is marginally higher.
  • No detailed head-to-head current-season stats provided, though previous encounters suggest closely contested matches.
  • No specific injury reports available from the provided data.
  • Home advantage for Las Palmas at Estadio de Gran Canaria could influence the match outcome.
  • Las Palmas faces higher stakes due to their 18th-place standing, potentially increasing their urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Las Palmas: +160, Valencia: +170, Draw: +240 Las Palmas (narrow edge) Moderate (36.7% probability)
Spread Las Palmas: 0 (-112), Valencia: 0 (-108) Push (even spread) Low (no clear spread advantage)
Over/under Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-120) Under 2.5 goals High (54% probability)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Las Palmas -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Las Palmas holds a slight edge (36.7% win probability) per simulation models, but Valencia (36.3%) remains nearly even. The match is highly likely to be low-scoring, with a 54% probability for Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Las Palmas) or 1-1 (Draw)


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Villarreal vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga match between Villarreal and CA Osasuna is set for May 3, 2025. Villarreal has a strong home advantage, while Osasuna looks to improve its away form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has shown solid form in recent matches but lost their last game. Osasuna has been inconsistent yet resilient.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Villarreal, with three wins and two draws against Osasuna in their last five matches.
  • No major injuries reported for key players at the time of analysis.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support may favor Villarreal.
  • Both teams have motivation to win, though Villarreal might have more pressure at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -180 Villarreal, 440 Osasuna, 350 Draw Villarreal High
Spread -1 Villarreal -110, +1 Osasuna -110 Villarreal Medium
Over/under Over 2.75 -125, Under 2.75 105 Over Low

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win with a likelihood of over 55%.

Predicted Score: Villarreal 2, Osasuna 0


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Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (17th in La Liga) hosts Atlético Madrid (3rd) in a match where Atlético seeks a season sweep. Alavés aims to avoid relegation pressures, while Atlético fights for Champions League positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético has stronger offensive metrics (53 goals scored vs. Alavés' 35) and defensive stability (25 goals conceded vs. 45)
  • Atlético leads recent encounters, including a prior victory this season
  • No specific injury data provided in sources
  • Alavés' home advantage countered by Atlético's superior squad quality
  • Atlético's UCL qualification push vs. Alavés' relegation battle urgency

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +270, Atlético: +115, Draw: +220 Atlético Madrid High (45.8% modeled probability vs. 26.5% Alavés/27.8% draw)
Spread Alavés +25 (-100), Atlético -0.25 (-120) Atlético Madrid -0.25 Moderate (covers if they win outright)
Over/under Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (+100) Under 2 goals Medium (defensive focus likely)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win (45.8% probability per predictive models) in a low-scoring affair

Predicted Score: 0-1 Atlético Madrid


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

Game Overview

Rayo Vallecano hosts Getafe in a crucial match for both teams as they sit mid-table in La Liga, with Rayo at 11th and Getafe at 12th. A win could provide necessary breathing room in the late-season struggle to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rayo Vallecano and Getafe have shown inconsistency in recent matches, with Rayo having more draws and Getafe struggling with consecutive losses before a recent win.
  • The teams previously drew 0-0 in their last La Liga encounter this season.
  • No specific injury reports for key players were found.
  • The match takes place in Madrid, which may slightly favor Rayo Vallecano due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to gain points and secure their positions in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano: 135, Draw: 200, Getafe: 240 Rayo Vallecano or Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Rayo Vallecano: -0.25 100, Getafe: 25 -120 Rayo Vallecano -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: -118, Under: -102 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rayo Vallecano is favored to win due to home advantage and slightly better recent form, but a draw is also plausible given the teams' past head-to-head result.

Predicted Score: 1-0 or 1-1


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Villarreal vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 27 Apr 2025
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal (5th, 52 PTS) faces Espanyol (15th, 39 PTS) in a LaLiga clash. Villarreal recently defeated Rayo Vallecano 1-0, while Espanyol beat Deportivo Alaves 1-0. Villarreal won the reverse fixture 2-1 on September 26, 2024, with Ayoze Perez scoring twice.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal demonstrates stronger form (14-10-8) with consistent top-half results, while Espanyol (10-9-13) struggles defensively, conceding frequently in away games.
  • Villarreal won the last H2H 2-1, showcasing attacking dominance (14 shots vs. 9 for Espanyol). Perez remains a critical threat.
  • Limited injury data from sources, but recent lineups show key players (e.g., Perez for Villarreal, Calero for Espanyol) are active.
  • Villarreal's home advantage at Estadio de la Ceramica provides an edge. No weather disruptions reported.
  • Villarreal seeks European qualification, while Espanyol fights to avoid relegation, adding pressure to both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -215 | Espanyol +525 | Draw +370 Villarreal victory ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Villarreal -1.25 (+102) | Espanyol +1.25 (-122) Villarreal covers -1.25 spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-108) | Under 2.75 (-112) Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win narrowly, leveraging home advantage and superior attacking quality. Espanyol’s defensive vulnerabilities may concede 1-2 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Villarreal


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