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Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy, USA

Game Overview

The MLS regular season match between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers promises to be a competitive clash with Real Salt Lake sitting 10th and Portland Timbers 4th in the standings. Both teams have shown contrasting defensive records, with Real Salt Lake conceding 17 goals and Portland 19, and neither team keeping a clean sheet so far. The match will be held at Rio Tinto Stadium, giving Real Salt Lake home advantage, but Portland's stronger form in the league adds intrigue to the encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Salt Lake has conceded 17 goals with an xG conceded of 15.2, showing slightly better defensive metrics than Portland, which has conceded 19 goals and an xG conceded of 15. However, Portland has made more interceptions (18 vs 4) and allowed fewer shots against (118 vs 144), suggesting a more proactive defensive approach. Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets so far, indicating defensive vulnerabilities[1].
  • In the previous MLS season, Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers played two matches against each other, with momentum favoring Portland Timbers based on standings and recent form. Historically, the Timbers have been more consistent, currently ranking 4th compared to Real Salt Lake’s 10th place. The matches have been competitive with no clear dominance in recent fixtures[5].
  • Current publicly available data does not specify major injuries for either side, suggesting both teams might field their strongest lineups.
  • Playing at Rio Tinto Stadium provides home advantage for Real Salt Lake, including familiar pitch conditions and fan support. However, Portland’s away performance has been solid this season. Weather and travel fatigue factors appear minimal given the schedule and location.
  • Portland Timbers, positioned higher in the standings, are motivated to consolidate their top 5 status pushing for playoff positioning. Real Salt Lake aims to close the gap and improve their mid-table standing, making this a crucial contest for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portland Timbers: 250, Real Salt Lake: -105, Draw: 285 Real Salt Lake to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Portland Timbers +50: -120, Real Salt Lake -0.5: 100 Real Salt Lake -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -108, Under 3: -112 Under 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Salt Lake -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Considering Real Salt Lake’s slight home advantage and defensive solidity but Portland Timbers’ higher league standing, better interception stats, and recent form, the match is expected to be close, with a marginal edge to Real Salt Lake at home.

Predicted Score: Real Salt Lake 2 – 1 Portland Timbers


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Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers Prediction

Match Analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-15 Time: 1:30 AM UTC Location: Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy, USA Game Overview The MLS regular season match between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers promises to be a competitive clash with Real Salt Lake sitting 10th and Portland Timbers 4th in […]

May 15, 2025 Portland Timbers Real Salt Lake Soccer

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Los Angeles FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-30
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, USA

Game Overview

Los Angeles FC hosts Vancouver Whitecaps in a Major League Soccer clash. Los Angeles FC currently ranks 5th, while Vancouver Whitecaps hold 1st place, making this a high-stakes encounter. LAFC has a strong home record, undefeated in 25 of their last 28 home MLS matches and winning their last 4 home games against Vancouver. Vancouver has struggled recently, losing 50% of their last 6 matches, whereas LAFC has remained unbeaten in their last 9 MLS games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Los Angeles FC has shown consistent form with 3 wins out of their last 6 MLS matches and an unbeaten streak of 9 games. Vancouver Whitecaps have faced some setbacks, losing half of their recent 6 matches. LAFC has an edge playing at home with a strong recent record and tactical stability. Vancouver, despite leading the table, has been inconsistent lately.
  • In the last 24 meetings between the two teams, LAFC leads with 12 wins compared to Vancouver's 6, with 6 draws. Recent history favors LAFC heavily with 4 wins in the last 6 meetings. The average goals per match is around 2 to 3, with about 83% of games having over 1.5 goals.
  • No specific injury information is available currently for either team that would notably impact the match outcome.
  • The match is played at LAFC's home stadium, BMO Stadium, providing them an advantage with strong home support. Weather or other external conditions are not reported to be unfavorable.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps are motivated to maintain their top position in the league but have been under pressure due to recent losses. LAFC is motivated to close the gap in standings and has good momentum from their undefeated streak at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles FC: -125, Vancouver Whitecaps: 330, Draw: 280 Los Angeles FC win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Los Angeles FC: -0.75 102, Vancouver Whitecaps: 75 -122 Los Angeles FC -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles FC 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC is predicted to win this tightly contested match based on recent form, head-to-head advantage, and home stadium edge.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Columbus Crew SC vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lower.com Field, Columbus, OH

Game Overview

The upcoming MLS clash between Columbus Crew SC and Philadelphia Union at Lower.com Field promises a competitive match, with both teams showing strong form in recent meetings. Their previous encounter ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating a potentially open and attacking game. Columbus Crew SC plays at home and enters as the favorite based on current odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Columbus Crew SC has demonstrated resilience and scoring capability, including a late equalizer in their recent draw with Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union also shows strong offensive skills, recording multiple goals in recent matches, but their away form is less favored compared to Columbus's home performance.
  • The last meeting on May 10, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw at Subaru Park, with both teams exchanging leads and demonstrating balanced competitiveness. This suggests a tight matchup with potential for goals from both sides.
  • No specific injury reports are available from the recent data, implying both teams likely have their key players available, which supports a balanced contest.
  • The match is at Columbus's home ground Lower.com Field, which can provide a home advantage. Weather conditions historically have been mild, and no current adverse conditions are reported that could affect play.
  • Both teams have incentive to claim full points: Columbus to capitalize on home advantage and climb the MLS standings; Philadelphia to recover from the draw and improve away results. This ensures high motivation and competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC: -120, Philadelphia Union: 310, Draw: 290 Columbus Crew SC win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Columbus Crew SC: -0.5 -118, Philadelphia Union: 50 -102 Columbus Crew SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -108, Under 3: -112 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering home advantage, recent form, and the closely contested head-to-head history, Columbus Crew SC is favored to edge out Philadelphia Union in a closely fought match with potential for multiple goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, USA

Game Overview

Seattle Sounders FC hosts Austin FC in an MLS matchup at Lumen Field. Seattle, currently ranked 6th in the league, seeks to rebound after a recent 3-goal loss, while Austin FC, 7th in standings, aims to capitalize on their recent form and possibly inflict another heavy defeat. Both teams have similar standings, making this a closely contested encounter expected to be decided by fine margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seattle Sounders FC have a recent record of 1-3-3, with 6 points in the season, scoring 25 goals but conceding heavily in certain matches. Austin FC is similarly ranked close behind Seattle and have shown resilience, with top scorers like A. Rusnak contributing 7 goals and 3 assists, while Seattle’s leading scorer B. Vazquez has 5 goals. Seattle’s home form at Lumen Field is a critical advantage.
  • The historical data between Seattle Sounders FC and Austin FC shows closely matched encounters. Recent meetings have seen both teams winning and losing, highlighting a competitive rivalry. Austin inflicted a recent 3-goal loss on Seattle, indicating potential psychological edge going into this game.
  • No specific injury reports are provided in the current data, implying both teams are likely near full strength, which will contribute to a highly competitive match.
  • Playing at home in the iconic Lumen Field, Seattle will benefit from strong home crowd support which can boost team morale and performance. Weather conditions are typical for Seattle in late June, likely mild and favorable for soccer.
  • Seattle Sounders FC will be motivated to avoid back-to-back heavy defeats and secure crucial home points to improve their standing. Austin FC, having recently defeated Seattle comprehensively, will be motivated to replicate that success and solidify their position above Seattle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC: 440, Seattle Sounders FC: -160, Draw: 310 Seattle Sounders FC to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Austin FC: 75 @ +105, Seattle Sounders FC: -0.75 @ -125 Seattle Sounders FC -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Sounders FC -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Seattle's home advantage and motivation to bounce back, alongside Austin's recent strong showing against Seattle, the match is predicted to be closely contested with Seattle narrowly edging a win.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Seattle Sounders FC


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San Jose Earthquakes vs. LA Galaxy Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, USA

Game Overview

The match between San Jose Earthquakes and LA Galaxy is a significant MLS Western Conference clash. San Jose currently ranks 8th in the conference and is vying for a playoff spot with 19 points, tied with Austin FC. LA Galaxy are struggling severely, positioned 15th, enduring a 16-game winless streak with little chance to reach playoffs this season. This fixture is a continuation of the historic California Clásico rivalry, with LA Galaxy historically dominant but recent form favoring San Jose.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Jose has performed better this season, maintaining playoff contention and recently shutting out LA Galaxy 1-0 in their last meeting. LA Galaxy have struggled with defensive errors and poor results, including heavy losses and shutouts.
  • LA Galaxy lead the overall California Clásico series with 50 wins, 34 losses, and 19 draws. However, LA Galaxy's eight-game unbeaten streak against San Jose was broken in their last encounter, with San Jose winning 1-0 in May 2025. Historically, LA Galaxy have dominated home matches, but recent form slightly favors San Jose.
  • Specific current injury reports not detailed in sources. However, previous matches showed LA Galaxy affected by veteran defender errors.
  • The match is played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, giving San Jose a home advantage. LA Galaxy players may be pressured by their ongoing winless streak and playoff elimination.
  • San Jose is highly motivated to secure a win to boost their playoff chances. LA Galaxy have little to lose but are desperate to break their long winless streak and improve morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Jose Earthquakes: 100, LA Galaxy: 235, Draw: 290 San Jose Earthquakes win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread San Jose Earthquakes -0.5: 102, LA Galaxy +50: -122 San Jose -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -122, Under 3.25: 102 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Jose Earthquakes 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: San Jose Earthquakes at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Jose Earthquakes are favored due to better form, home advantage, and motivation. Expect a close match but with San Jose edging out LA Galaxy, potentially scoring multiple goals given LA’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: San Jose Earthquakes 2 – 1 LA Galaxy


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Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, MO, USA

Game Overview

The Major League Soccer match between Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake is set for June 29, 2025, at Children's Mercy Park. Sporting Kansas City is favored at home, with Real Salt Lake looking to challenge them in what is expected to be a competitive fixture given their recent encounters and standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Kansas City is currently favored with better odds and has shown stable form at home. Real Salt Lake has been competitive but generally slightly underperforming against Sporting Kansas City in recent matches. Both teams have displayed moderate scoring rates with Real Salt Lake historically involved in several 1-2 results against Sporting Kansas City.
  • Historically, the most common scoreline between these two teams is a 1-2 result favoring Real Salt Lake, which occurred 8 times in their last 23 meetings, indicating a tightly contested rivalry with slight edge to Real Salt Lake in close matches.
  • No specific injury updates are provided for either team, indicating likely availability of key players for this match, which should maintain competitive balance.
  • Playing at home gives Sporting Kansas City a venue advantage. There are no notable external factors such as extreme weather or travel fatigue reported that could impact the teams disproportionately.
  • Sporting Kansas City is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and maintain their favorable standing, while Real Salt Lake aims to overturn historical challenges against Sporting KC, providing strong impetus for a competitive game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Kansas City: 120, Real Salt Lake: 210, Draw: 260 Sporting Kansas City to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Sporting Kansas City: -0.25 -108, Real Salt Lake: 25 -112 Sporting Kansas City -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3 100, Under: 3 -120 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Kansas City 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sporting Kansas City at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Kansas City is predicted to win narrowly due to home advantage and current betting market favoritism. The match is expected to be tightly contested with a moderate goal tally around 2-3 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Houston Dynamo vs. St. Louis City SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Shell Energy Stadium

Game Overview

Houston Dynamo hosts St. Louis City SC in an MLS regular season match at Shell Energy Stadium. Houston Dynamo have struggled this season with a record of 0-2-3, accumulating only 2 points, while St. Louis City SC are in better form with 2-2-1 and 8 points. The Dynamo will be looking to leverage their home advantage, but St. Louis City comes in with more confidence and recent better performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston Dynamo has failed to register a win so far, showing vulnerabilities in both defense and attack with no significant goal scorers. St. Louis City SC has had a more balanced campaign with multiple players contributing goals and assists, reflecting a more cohesive team effort.
  • There is limited recent head-to-head data between these two sides given St. Louis City's recent formation. However, early season results and performances favor St. Louis City SC showing more consistent results.
  • No major injury updates are available for either team close to the match date, suggesting both sides will likely field their strongest available lineups.
  • Playing at Shell Energy Stadium offers Houston Dynamo home support, but current form and morale favor the visiting side. Weather or pitch conditions have not been reported as issues for this match.
  • Houston Dynamo are highly motivated to avoid a winless start to the season on home turf. St. Louis City SC aims to consolidate their position in the standings by exploiting Houston’s struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Dynamo: -120, St. Louis City SC: 300, Draw: 285 Houston Dynamo win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Houston Dynamo -0.5: -118, St. Louis City SC +50: -102 Houston Dynamo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: 105 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Dynamo -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St. Louis City SC edges out Houston Dynamo with a narrow away win due to better overall form and squad depth despite Houston's home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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FC Dallas vs. San Diego FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs San Diego FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, USA

Game Overview

The MLS match between FC Dallas and San Diego FC features two teams with contrasting recent forms and standings. FC Dallas is currently ranked 10th in the league and has gathered 8 points in their last 5 games, averaging 1.6 points per game. San Diego FC stands stronger at 2nd place, showing better defensive solidity with 0.8 goals conceded per match and an Asian handicap win percentage of 60%. Their head-to-head history is limited but competitive, including one match this season where San Diego FC won decisively 5-0. FC Dallas has a slightly higher recent Asian handicap win rate at 80% and tends to have matches with over 3 goals 60% of the time, indicating an attacking style that often yields goals both ways.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Dallas has shown moderate consistency with 8 points from the last 5 matches but concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. San Diego FC has been stronger defensively and more clinical, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and conceding less than 1 goal per game.
  • Only two recorded matches between these sides exist recently, with San Diego FC winning one and the other ending in a draw. The single encounter in 2025 saw San Diego FC winning 5-0, highlighting a potential psychological edge. Both teams show decent Asian handicap performance and a tendency towards over 3 goals games historically.
  • No specific injury information is available in the current data sources, so it is assumed both teams have their regular squad options available.
  • The match is played at FC Dallas' home ground, Toyota Stadium, which can provide home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions were not specified and assumed normal.
  • San Diego FC’s higher league standing and recent form likely motivate them to maintain momentum and challenge for the top position. FC Dallas, positioned mid-table, will be eager to capitalize on home advantage to improve their ranking and halt San Diego’s progress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Dallas: 210, San Diego FC: 120, Draw: 270 San Diego FC win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread FC Dallas: 25 -110, San Diego FC: -0.25 -110 San Diego FC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego FC 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: San Diego FC at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego FC is favored to win due to their superior league position, stronger recent form, and decisive recent head-to-head victory. However, FC Dallas’ home advantage and scoring ability suggest the match could be competitive and high-scoring.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Chicago Fire vs. Charlotte FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Home stadium of Chicago Fire (venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

The upcoming MLS match features Chicago Fire hosting Charlotte FC. Historically, Charlotte FC has dominated recent encounters, winning 5 of the 7 meetings since 2022, while Chicago Fire won 2. The teams have averaged around 4 goals per match in their direct clashes, implying an open and potentially high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Charlotte FC has the upper hand with 5 wins from 7 head-to-head matches and a higher points per game average (2.3 vs 1.9). Charlotte's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals but conceding 2.2 per match. Chicago Fire has won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2.0 goals on average but also conceding 2.2, indicating defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
  • Charlotte FC leads significantly with 5 wins, 2 losses for Chicago Fire, and no draws in the past 7 games. Total goals have been prolific (around 4 goals per match). Charlotte has a 71.43% win rate on the road against Chicago, and Chicago holds a 28.57% home win rate against Charlotte.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the sources. Assumed to have normal squad availability.
  • No additional external factors such as weather, travel disruptions, or special circumstances noted in the data provided.
  • Both teams are mid-table and likely motivated to secure points to improve their standings. Charlotte FC may have a slight psychological edge given their dominance in recent head-to-head encounters.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charlotte FC: +260, Chicago Fire: -110, Draw: +295 Chicago Fire Moneyline ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Charlotte FC: 50 -115, Chicago Fire: -0.5 -105 Chicago Fire -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under Over 3.25: -102, Under 3.25: -118 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Fire -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Charlotte FC's overall better head-to-head record, recent form, and higher away success against Chicago Fire, Charlotte is slightly favored despite Chicago's home advantage. Expect an open match with goals from both sides.

Predicted Score: Chicago Fire 2 – 2 Charlotte FC


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Toronto FC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Game Overview

The upcoming MLS clash features Toronto FC hosting Portland Timbers at BMO Field. Toronto FC, currently 14th in the league, face a strong Portland side ranked 4th. Both teams have competitive history in the league with tight head-to-head records. Portland comes in with strong recent form and defensive solidity, while Toronto struggles with losses and scoring consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto FC's recent form is poor with 5 consecutive losses, scoring and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Portland Timbers have won 4 and drawn 1 in their last 5 matches, with a robust defensive record conceding just 1 goal per match and averaging 1.0 goals scored. Overall, Portland demonstrates better form and defensive organization this season.
  • Historically, the teams have played 13 times with a balanced record: Toronto FC has 5 wins, Portland Timbers 5 wins, and 3 draws. Recent matches show a high goal average of about 3.36 goals per game. Both teams showed a tendency towards over 1.5 goals in their meetings. Portland holds a slight edge due to current form but matches are often competitive and close.
  • No specific injury information available in current data, implying no major absences announced for either team before the match.
  • The match is played at Toronto’s home ground, BMO Field, which could influence dynamics. Toronto usually sees over 1.5 total goals in two-thirds of their home games. Portland’s away matches also tend to have a moderate goal volume, with almost half going over 2.5 goals. Weather and travel conditions for Portland could have minor impacts but no explicit external disruptions noted.
  • Portland Timbers, sitting high in the standings, are motivated to secure points to maintain playoff positioning. Toronto FC, currently in a low league position with a losing streak, are motivated to break their poor run and collect vital points on home soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portland Timbers: 1.35, Toronto FC: 2, Draw: 2.4 Portland Timbers Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Portland Timbers -0.25: 1.02, Toronto FC +25: 1.22 Portland Timbers -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: 1, Under 2.75: 1.2 Under 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Portland Timbers 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Portland Timbers to win or draw, leveraging their strong recent form and defensive consistency. The match is expected to be competitive with goals scored but potentially fewer than the historically high average, given Toronto’s current struggles.

Predicted Score: Portland Timbers 2 – 1 Toronto FC


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