Match Analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: America First Field, Sandy, UT
Game Overview
Real Salt Lake hosts Minnesota United FC in a critical MLS regular season match where RSL has shown defensive vulnerabilities while Minnesota has been a more consistent and slightly better-performing side this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Salt Lake holds a 9-4-13 record with a negative goal differential (-6) and conceding 1.27 goals per game, while Minnesota United boasts a stronger 13-8-6 record indicating better overall form and sharper offensive capability.
- Minnesota United holds an edge with more wins this season and better recent form against RSL, who have struggled to impose their home advantage.
- No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly impact starting XI or game strategy.
- Match played at Real Salt Lake's home ground, which usually provides some advantage, but RSLβs underlying defensive stats and save percentage are mediocre, and weather/field conditions are expected to be normal.
- Minnesota is pushing for a higher playoff position and currently better placed in the table, so motivation to secure a road win is high. Real Salt Lake also needs points but has less momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 119, away: 202, draw: 265 | Minnesota United FC | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Minnesota United FC +50: -152, Real Salt Lake -0.5: 114 | Real Salt Lake +0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over 2.5: -139, under 2.5: 105 | Under 2.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC 36% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Minnesota United FC at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota United FC moneyline win, Real Salt Lake +0.5 on spread, Under 2.5 total goals
Predicted Score: 1-1