Match Analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: America First Field, Sandy, UT, USA
Game Overview
This MLS matchup features Real Salt Lake, currently in 12th place with 22 points, hosting Houston Dynamo, who are in 8th place with 26 points. Real Salt Lake has struggled at home, losing half of their matches this season, while Houston Dynamo has shown resilience with a consistent performance in recent games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Salt Lake has scored 2+ goals in their last three home matches, but they have struggled at home overall. Houston Dynamo has a 50% win rate in their last six matches and has scored in all of their last ten MLS games.
- Houston Dynamo has historically struggled against Real Salt Lake at their home, with only three wins in 21 recent matches. However, both teams have scored in all of the last six H2H matches.
- No significant injury updates are available.
- The match is being played during the summer, which can lead to hot conditions in Utah. However, no specific external factors are noted.
- Real Salt Lake is motivated to climb the standings, while Houston Dynamo aims to maintain their position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Houston Dynamo: 255, Real Salt Lake: 102, Draw: 255 | Real Salt Lake | ★★★☆☆ 57% |
Spread | Houston Dynamo: 50 -130, Real Salt Lake: -0.5 -102 | Real Salt Lake -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 -137, Under: 2.5 103 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Salt Lake 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Salt Lake is favored to win, considering their recent scoring form and home advantage despite struggling at home. Over 2.5 goals is likely given both teams' recent scoring trends.
Predicted Score: Real Salt Lake 3, Houston Dynamo 1