Match Analysis: Real Betis vs CA Osasuna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville, Spain
Game Overview
Real Betis hosts CA Osasuna in a La Liga clash where Betis shows stronger home form and higher win probability, while Osasuna struggles away. Both teams exhibit moderately defensive tendencies resulting in low to moderate scoring games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Betis holds a 2-0-1 home record and 9 overall points with a solid recent form; Osasuna is winless away (0-0-3) with just 7 points overall. Betis performs better in offensive and defensive metrics.
- Historically, Betis has a slight advantage with more wins in recent fixtures, including a 1-0 win as the most likely correct score based on simulations.
- No significant injury news reported for either team, so both sides are expected to field strongest lineups.
- The match is played at Betis' home venue, boosting their confidence and reducing travel fatigue; no adverse weather or scheduling issues reported.
- Betis aims to capitalize on home advantage to climb the La Liga table, while Osasuna fights to improve their dismal away record, likely leading to cautious play.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Real Betis: -141, CA Osasuna: 360, Draw: 295 | Real Betis | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Real Betis -0.75: -108, CA Osasuna +75: -112 | Real Betis -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Real Betis -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Betis to win, covering -0.75 spread, with under 2.5 goals scored in total.
Predicted Score: 1-0