Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain
Game Overview
Rayo Vallecano hosts Celta Vigo in a La Liga clash where Rayo shows a slight edge in recent form and head-to-head results. Both teams have had mixed starts, but Rayo has won the last two meetings and boasts a solid home record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rayo Vallecano has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and won their previous 2 encounters against Celta. Celta Vigo has scored 4 goals in last 5 games but is on a 5-match winless streak, impacting their confidence negatively.
- Of the previous 22 meetings, Rayo Vallecano has won 9 times, Celta 6, with 7 draws. Recent H2H favors Rayo with 2 consecutive wins and several draws, suggesting a psychological advantage.
- No major injury reports are available for either team that significantly alter the lineup dynamics.
- Rayo plays at home in Estadio de Vallecas, which is known for its passionate atmosphere. Celta's recent penalty conceding trend (most in the league) might add defensive pressure.
- Rayo aims to build momentum early in the season with strong home performances. Celtaβs lack of wins in recent matches motivates urgency but also pressure, possibly leading to errors.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 133, away: 220, draw: 220 | Rayo Vallecano | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | home: -102, away: -118, spread: 25 | Rayo Vallecano -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over: -122, under: 102, line: 2.25 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Rayo Vallecano 28% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Rayo Vallecano at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rayo Vallecano to win moneyline, Rayo Vallecano -0.25 Asian handicap, Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0