Match Analysis: Queens Park Rangers vs Southampton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Loftus Road
Game Overview
Queens Park Rangers (QPR) and Southampton face off with QPR exhibiting mixed recent form but stronger away performances, while Southampton have struggled with three losses and two draws recently, showing poor attacking output and defensive issues.
Key Factors to Consider
- QPR have won 2 of their last 5 matches but have a shaky home record including a heavy defeat to Ipswich. Southampton have been poor overall with 3 losses and 2 draws, scoring only 2 goals in their last 5 games and failing to score in most recent home matches.
- Southampton won their last meeting at Loftus Road 4-1 but QPR look to exploit Southamptonβs current defensive frailties. Overall, H2H favors Southampton but recent form weighs toward QPR.
- No major injury news reported that significantly affects starting lineups; managerial change at Southampton may impact team stability.
- Southamptonβs interim management could affect team morale and tactics. QPR motivated to capitalize on Southampton's form and home advantage despite mixed results.
- QPR aiming to solidify mid-table positioning with a home win; Southampton fighting to escape relegation zone with pressing need for points.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +174, away: +146, draw: +220 | Queens Park Rangers | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | home: +102, away: -122 | Queens Park Rangers +0 (pick'em) | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -105, under: -115 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Queens Park Rangers 15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Queens Park Rangers at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Queens Park Rangers to win with a tight scoreline, leveraging Southamptonβs current attacking struggles and defensive instability.
Predicted Score: 1-0