Match Analysis: Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Loftus Road Stadium, London, England
Game Overview
Queens Park Rangers (QPR) host Millwall in an evenly matched EFL Championship fixture at Loftus Road with both sides showing moderate form and motivation to climb the table. Historically competitive with balanced H2H outcomes, the match promises a tight contest with slight home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have similar recent outcomes and scoring output. QPR have several key scorers (Kone 4 goals) and maintain steady home form, while Millwall relies on a spread of scorers and has shown resilience especially in away matches.
- The last 20 meetings are balanced: 6 wins each and 8 draws. Recent head-to-head shows Millwall won a couple of encounters decisively (2-0 home win Dec 2023), while QPR have also secured victories at home. The rivalry is close with no dominant side.
- No critical injury data suggesting major absences for either team. Both squads appear close to full strength, maintaining their standard lineups.
- No unusual external factors such as venue change or weather impact expected. Loftus Road offers typical home conditions for QPR.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve league positioning. QPR benefits slightly from home advantage and recent tighter defensive shape.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Millwall: +180, Queens Park Rangers: +160, Draw: +193 | Queens Park Rangers | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Millwall: -102, Queens Park Rangers: -118, spread_line: 0 | Queens Park Rangers | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | over_2.25: +105, under_2.25: -125 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Queens Park Rangers 9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Queens Park Rangers at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Queens Park Rangers to win on the moneyline with a moderately high probability due to home advantage and balanced team strengths.
Predicted Score: 1-0