Match Analysis: Preston North End vs Leicester City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Deepdale, Preston, England
Game Overview
The Championship match features Preston North End hosting Leicester City at Deepdale. Leicester City currently rank 3rd in the league, demonstrating stronger form, while Preston North End sit mid-table at 11th. Leicester have been unbeaten in their last six meetings against Preston (4 wins, 2 draws), signaling domination in head-to-head encounters. Both teams have had mixed recent performances in their competitions, with Leicester showing a stronger overall attack and defensive organization.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leicester City have shown better recent form with 8 goals in their last 5 matches and stronger performances in the Championship and friendlies, including a 2-1 win over Sheffield Wednesday and a 2-2 draw in the Carabao Cup. Preston North End have struggled for consistency, scoring 3 goals in their last 5 matches and suffering losses in recent fixtures, with key attacking players contributing but limited depth.
- Leicester City have not lost to Preston North End in their last six encounters, winning 4 and drawing 2. This historical dominance suggests psychological and tactical advantages for Leicester.
- Preston North End have several key players sidelined with muscle and leg injuries affecting Brad Potts, Jordan Thompson, Robert Brady, and Will Keane, likely impacting their attacking and midfield depth. No significant injuries reported for Leicester City.
- The match is played at Prestonβs home ground, Deepdale, which could provide some home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not currently reported to be adverse. Leicester's recent tighter defensive displays in away settings may counteract this advantage.
- Leicester City, sitting higher in the table, are motivated to maintain promotion push momentum early in the season. Preston North End aim to improve their mid-table status, but squad injuries may undermine their efforts.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City: 110, Preston North End: 225, Draw: 230 | Leicester City win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Leicester City -0.25: -118, Preston North End +25: -102 | Leicester City to cover -0.25 spread | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City are favored to win this match due to superior recent form, historical dominance in head-to-head matches, and fewer injury concerns.
Predicted Score: Leicester City 2 – 1 Preston North End