Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Wrexham AFC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Fratton Park
Game Overview
Portsmouth host Wrexham in a Championship clash at Fratton Park. Portsmouth are struggling near the relegation zone, while Wrexham sit mid-table with more consistent form. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities, but Wrexham's recent results and attacking edge give them a slight advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portsmouth have won just one of their last five matches, averaging 0.77 goals per game and conceding 1.31. Wrexham have been more consistent, mixing wins and draws, and have shown better attacking output. Portsmouth's recent 4-0 loss to Birmingham highlights their defensive fragility.
- No competitive meetings between these sides in the 21st century, so recent form and league context are the main guides.
- No major injury reports available for either side, so both teams are expected to field near full strength.
- Portsmouth have home advantage, but their form at Fratton Park has been poor. Wrexham are traveling well and have shown resilience on the road.
- Portsmouth are fighting to avoid relegation, while Wrexham are aiming to climb the table. Both teams have strong motivation, but Wrexham's confidence is higher given their recent results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 148, away: 180, draw: 212 | Wrexham AFC | Not available |
| Spread | home: 0 -125, away: 0 105 | Wrexham AFC +0 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 2.25 -115, under: 2.25 -105 | Under 2.25 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portsmouth 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wrexham to win or draw (Wrexham +0.25) is the highest EV play, with a strong chance of avoiding defeat and a slight edge in form and attacking quality.
Predicted Score: 1-1