Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Sheffield Wednesday – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Fratton Park
Game Overview
Portsmouth hosts Sheffield Wednesday in an EFL Championship clash at Fratton Park. Portsmouth currently sit mid-table and have shown decent scoring form, while Sheffield Wednesday struggle near the bottom with a poor away record and several injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portsmouth is in better form, averaging 1.8 goals per match and boasting a stronger home record. Sheffield Wednesday are 23rd with defensive frailties, conceding more and struggling to score away.
- Sheffield Wednesday have the edge historically with 3 wins in the last 6 encounters; however, Portsmouth have drawn 3 times and are unbeaten at home in recent head-to-head matches.
- Portsmouth will miss Callum Lang and Harvey Blair, but Sheffield Wednesday suffer more significant injuries including Nathaniel Chalobah, Bruno Fernandes, and Di'Shon Bernard, weakening their midfield and defense.
- The match is at Portsmouth's Fratton Park, where home advantage and local support could boost Portsmouth's performance amid Sheffield's struggles on the road.
- Portsmouth aim to climb the table and build momentum, while Sheffield Wednesday face pressure to avoid relegation, potentially leading to conservative play.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Portsmouth: -185, Sheffield Wednesday: 430, Draw: 305 | Portsmouth | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Portsmouth: -1100, Sheffield Wednesday: 1 -120 | Portsmouth -1 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 -118, Under: 2.5 -102 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Portsmouth -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portsmouth to win on the moneyline, Portsmouth -1 on the spread, and under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0