Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-17
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Providence Park, Portland, USA
Game Overview
Portland Timbers host Real Salt Lake in an MLS matchup where the Timbers have home advantage and better current form, aiming to consolidate a playoff position while Real Salt Lake struggles away from home and are lower in the standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland Timbers rank 5th with 33 points from 20 matches, including strong home form with 6 wins in last 11 home games, while Real Salt Lake is 11th and has struggled defensively on the road.
- Recent head-to-heads favor Portland Timbers, who won the one meeting this season and have outperformed Real Salt Lake historically, particularly at home.
- No significant injury reports affecting key players for either side have been indicated, suggesting both teams will field near full-strength squads.
- The match is at Providence Park, where Portland benefits from strong fan support and familiar conditions; no adverse weather or travel issues reported.
- Portland is motivated by a recent win and the push for playoff positioning, whereas Real Salt Lake needs points to improve their standing but have exhibited less consistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Portland Timbers +107 / Real Salt Lake +236 / Draw +255 | Portland Timbers | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Portland Timbers -0.5 (103) / Real Salt Lake +50 (-135) | Portland Timbers -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-159) / Under 2.5 (120) | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Portland Timbers 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Portland Timbers at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portland Timbers to win
Predicted Score: 2-1