Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Providence Park, Portland, USA
Game Overview
The MLS match between Portland Timbers and New York Red Bulls will be held at Providence Park, Portland. Portland currently ranks 5th in the MLS standings while New York Red Bulls are positioned 10th. The teams last met in May 2022 with a 1-1 draw. Portland is hosting this fixture having the home advantage and some momentum in their playoff push.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland Timbers have displayed stronger form this season with higher ranking and consistent home advantage. New York Red Bulls are lower in the table and will be the underdog. Leading scorers are E. Choupo-Moting for New York Red Bulls with 15 goals and K. Kelsy for Portland with 7 goals, indicating offensive threats on both sides.
- The last encounter between these sides was a 1-1 draw in May 2022. Historical data suggests competitive but balanced matches with neither team dominating decisively in recent MLS meetings.
- No specific injuries or red cards reported for either side currently, suggesting both teams can field near full-strength squads.
- The match is hosted at Portlandβs home stadium which usually provides a positive boost through fan support. The playoff push adds motivation especially for Portland who aim to secure a higher playoff seed.
- Portland Timbers are motivated by a strong playoff push and the home crowd advantage while New York Red Bulls will look to upset a higher-ranked opponent and improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Red Bulls: 226, Portland Timbers: 110, Draw: 260 | Portland Timbers win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | New York Red Bulls: 50 -139, Portland Timbers: -0.5 105 | Portland Timbers -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -147, Under 2.5: 111 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Portland Timbers 20% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portland Timbers are favored to win this match due to home advantage, current form, and motivation. A tight match is expected but the Timbers have the edge to secure a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: 2-1