Match Analysis: Pisa vs Udinese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa, Italy
Game Overview
Pisa will host Udinese in this Serie A Round 3 fixture. Pisa currently ranks 14th in the league, while Udinese holds a stronger 5th position. Pisa seeks their first Serie A home win since promotion, facing an Udinese side with more top-tier experience and tactical cohesion under coach Runjaic. Both teams have enhanced their attacking options during transfer windows, but Udinese is currently in better form, unbeaten in their last 6 matches and having scored more goals recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pisa has scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches and shows some attacking creativity, with Idrissa Toure creating the most big chances. Goalkeeper Adrian Semper leads the competition in saves per match (4.5). Udinese has scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches and maintains an unbeaten streak of 6 games, showing strong offensive and defensive stability, having been awarded the most penalties this season.
- Historically, Udinese has the upper hand, being a mainstay in Serie A and consistently finishing higher in the table. Previous encounters suggest Udinese's stronger display both tactically and technically. No exact recent H2H scorelines are detailed, but bookies and previews favor Udinese.
- No specific injury information is reported for either team in the available data, suggesting both squads will likely field their strongest lineups.
- The match is played at Pisa's home stadium which may give them slight home advantage, though Udinese's superior league placement and form may mitigate this. There are no reported adverse weather or external conditions affecting the match.
- Pisa aims to secure their first home win this Serie A season and prove themselves after promotion. Udinese strives to maintain their strong standing in the top 5 and extend their unbeaten run, motivated by higher league ambitions.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pisa: 180, Udinese: 172, Draw: 205 | Udinese win | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Pisa: 0 -108, Udinese: 0 -112 | Udinese to cover the spread (draw no bet) | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: -1.25 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Udinese 14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Udinese at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Udinese is favored to win with a forecasted score of 2-1, based on their current form and superior league position. Pisa may put up a competitive fight at home but likely will struggle to contain Udineseβs attacking prowess.
Predicted Score: Pisa 1 – 2 Udinese