Match Analysis: Pisa vs Lazio – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-30
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Pisa (Home)
Game Overview
This Serie A clash features Pisa hosting Lazio in a tightly matched contest with both teams showing mixed recent form. Lazio are slight favorites in the moneyline but Pisa's strong home goal involvement and Lazio's conservative away scoring profile suggest a close, potentially low-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pisa is winless in their last five Serie A matches (3 draws, 2 losses) showing inconsistency, while Lazio has a poor recent run with only 1 win in their last 5. Both teams display roughly equal home/away win percentages around 40%, indicating a balanced contest.
- Historically, Lazio have a slight edge but matches have been competitive. Recent head-to-head data is limited but no decisive dominance is noted.
- No critical injury information available that significantly impacts team lineups; both sides appear near full strength.
- No major external factors such as weather or scheduling disruptions reported that could influence the match significantly.
- Lazio, being favorites and higher in the table, have slightly higher motivation to secure points, while Pisa will push hard at home to improve form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lazio: 113, Pisa: 270, Draw: 215 | Lazio | β β β ββ 65% | 
| Spread | Lazio -0.25: -122, Pisa +25: 102 | Pisa +0.25 | β β β ββ 60% | 
| Over/under | Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 | Under 2.25 Goals | β β β β β 70% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lazio 17% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 10% | 
π₯ Best Value Pick: Lazio at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lazio to win on the moneyline, Pisa +0.25 on the spread, and under 2.25 total goals.
Predicted Score: 0-1
 
    