Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Inter Milan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Game Overview

A high-stakes Serie A clash featuring AS Roma and Inter Milan, both top contenders with strong recent form. Roma are defending well with only two goals conceded so far and are unbeaten at home in recent matches. Inter Milan enter as narrow favorites with a slightly stronger squad and five-match winning streak, but Roma's solid defense and home advantage set the stage for a closely contested match.

Key Factors to Consider

• Roma sit second in the league with five wins this season and a stout defense that has conceded only two goals. Inter Milan are in great form with a five-match winning streak, strong attacking stats, and league-leading corners.
• Historically, matches are tight. The last meeting ended 1-0 to Roma away. Betting history shows slight favor towards Inter but Roma’s home form is formidable.
• Roma will miss defender Angeliño due to illness, potentially weakening their backline slightly. Inter have no reported key absences.
• Roma benefit from playing at home in Stadio Olimpico, with a strong home unbeaten run. Inter have extra pressure as favorites and greater travel strain.
• Both teams are highly motivated; Roma aiming to consolidate their top league position and continue strong defensive performance, Inter pushing to sustain their winning streak and assert dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +245, away: +131, draw: +221	AS Roma	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	home: -112, away: -108	Roma +0.25	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	over: -112, under: -108	Over 2.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Inter Milan 52%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Inter Milan at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AS Roma to win (moneyline), Roma +0.25 (spread), Over 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Torino vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Game Overview

Torino host Napoli at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Italian Serie A. Napoli are strong favorites, currently top of the league and in excellent form, while Torino are inconsistent and struggling to maintain structure against elite opposition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli boast a strong start to the season, with a well-integrated squad under Conte and key summer signings like Rasmus Højlund delivering. Torino are unpredictable, recently drawing 3-3 with Lazio, but have also lost to weaker teams and show defensive vulnerabilities[1][3].
• Napoli have dominated recent meetings, winning 7 of the last 10 head-to-heads, including three of their last four visits to Turin. Napoli have often kept Torino off the scoresheet at home[1][2].
• No major injuries reported for either side in the latest previews. Lineups expected to be close to full-strength[1].
• No clear external factors (weather, venue, scheduling) mentioned to impact the game beyond the home/away context.
• Napoli are clear Scudetto contenders and keen to maintain their lead. Torino need points to avoid slipping into mid-table mediocrity but may lack the quality to upset the leaders[2][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Napoli (-128), Torino (475), Draw (233)	Napoli Win	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Napoli -0.75 (104), Torino +75 (-124)	Napoli -0.75	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.25 (-106), Under 2.25 (-114)	Over 2.25	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Napoli 25%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Napoli at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Napoli win, most likely by a single goal margin, but with Torino possibly scoring in a high-scoring encounter.

Predicted Score: Torino 1-2 Napoli

Match Analysis: Lecce vs Sassuolo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 1:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce

Game Overview

Lecce hosts Sassuolo in Serie A 2025/26, Matchweek 7. Both teams are in mid-table, but with Sassuolo showing stronger recent form. Lecce's home struggles and Sassuolo's inconsistent away record set the tone for a close contest, though recent momentum favors the visitors.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lecce ended a five-match winless start with a 1-0 win over Parma, but have just one win in their last 14 home Serie A matches (D4, L9) and failed to score in eight of those. Sassuolo are on a two-game winning run and have won three of their last four, though they have just one win in their last 16 away top-flight games (D3, L12)[3].
• Sassuolo beat Lecce 2-0 in their last visit to Stadio Via del Mare. Three of the last four H2Hs here have seen under 2.5 goals, with one Sassuolo win and two draws in the latest three[1][5].
• No major injuries reported for either side, but lineups are not fully confirmed pre-match[4].
• Stadio Via del Mare remains a difficult venue for Lecce, who have failed to capitalize on home advantage. Sassuolo's away form is generally poor, but they enter with momentum[3].
• Lecce need points to avoid relegation battle, while Sassuolo could move into European qualification spots with a win, which adds urgency for both teams[3].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lecce +203, Sassuolo +162, Draw +210	Sassuolo (away)	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Lecce 0 +107, Sassuolo 0 -127	Sassuolo (pk)	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over 2.25 +101, Under 2.25 -121	Under 2.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sassuolo 26%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sassuolo at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sassuolo's superior form and recent head-to-head advantage at this venue make them slight favorites, despite their poor away record. The game is expected to be tight, with a slight edge to the away side.

Predicted Score: 0-1

Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Como – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Gewiss Stadium

Game Overview

Atalanta BC faces Como in a Serie A match where Atalanta is favored but needs to overcome injuries and recent defensive instability. Como, motivated by their attacking style, aims to exploit Atalanta's weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Atalanta has been inconsistent, winning a significant match but facing injuries. Como has maintained an attacking approach despite recent setbacks.
• Recent H2Hs have been limited, but trends suggest a competitive match.
• Atalanta faces injuries, notably Odilon Kossounou, while Como has Serge Roberto doubtful.
• Home advantage usually favors Atalanta, but Como's attacking style could equalize the match.
• Both teams are motivated to gain points, with Atalanta seeking to cement their position and Como aiming to move up the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Atalanta BC: +124, Como: +225, Draw: +230	Atalanta BC	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Atalanta BC: -0.25 -108, Como: 25 -112	Atalanta BC -0.25	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -122, Under: 2.5 102	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Atalanta BC 23%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta BC and Como should engage in a competitive match with both teams posing a threat.

Predicted Score: 2-2

Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Cremonese – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Game Overview

Inter Milan, playing at home, face Cremonese in a Serie A match with contrasting recent forms. Inter are in strong attacking shape, unbeaten in their last five matches and scoring 12 goals, while Cremonese remain solid defensively but have scored fewer goals recently and haven't lost in five matches either.

Key Factors to Consider

• Inter Milan have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive capabilities. Cremonese have scored 6 goals and kept multiple clean sheets, indicating defensive resilience but less attacking threat.
• Inter Milan have won the last 3 encounters against Cremonese, including recent Serie A fixtures, showing clear historical dominance.
• No major injuries reported for key players on either side that would significantly impact the match outcome.
• Inter Milan have the motivation to maintain momentum after strong Champions League and Serie A performances. The game is played at their home stadium, adding advantage.
• Inter need positive results to consolidate their league position and capitalize on recent good form, while Cremonese aim to frustrate stronger opposition and pick points through counterattacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -470, away: 1000, draw: 575	Home	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	home: 102, away: -122, line: -2	Home -2	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -125, under: 105, line: 3	Over 3 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Inter Milan 725%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Inter Milan at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Milan to win on the moneyline, covering a -2 spread appears challenging but plausible, and expecting over 3 goals in the match given attacking trends.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Parma vs Lecce – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 1:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini

Game Overview

Parma is favored against Lecce at home, with odds placing them as likely winners. The historical head-to-head record and recent form suggest a tight match, with both teams having the potential to score, but Parma slightly more likely to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Parma has been performing slightly better than Lecce in recent matches, which could influence their motivation and performance.
• Historical head-to-head records are relatively balanced, but Parma typically has an edge at home.
• Currently, there is no significant injury report affecting the lineup for either team.
• Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but these are not significant factors based on available data.
• Parma is motivated to secure a win at home, which could boost their standing in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Parma: -131, Lecce: 350, Draw: 275	Parma	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Parma: -0.75 (102), Lecce: +75 (-122)	Parma -0.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: -108, Under: -112	Under 2.25	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Parma 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parma is likely to win, with under 2.5 goals in the match being a strong probability.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Parma

Error: Unable to process analysis data.

Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Sassuolo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Game Overview

This Serie A matchup features Hellas Verona hosting Sassuolo. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Sassuolo slightly better on points and away performance. The match is poised to be competitive with moderate goal-scoring expectations.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hellas Verona has a home record of 0-2-0 but has struggled overall (0-3-2). Sassuolo has a stronger away record (2-0-1) and has secured 6 points compared to Verona's 3, indicating marginally better form[6].
• Past meetings reflect a competitive balance with no dominant side. Both teams have low but similar probabilities to win by multiple goals. The predicted winning margins are narrow, underlining expected tight contests[2].
• No specific injury data available, suggesting no major absences affecting lineups significantly.
• Home advantage slightly favors Hellas Verona but Sassuolo's recent away form and motivation counterbalance this effect. Weather and pitch conditions not noted as significant factors.
• Sassuolo has shown stronger motivation recently with more points and away wins, while Hellas Verona aims to leverage home advantage to regain form[6].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	hellas_verona: +160, sassuolo: +180, draw: +220	Sassuolo	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	hellas_verona: -118, sassuolo: -102	Sassuolo 0 spread (draw no bet)	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	over: -105, under: -115	Under 2.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sassuolo 18%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sassuolo at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sassuolo moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-29
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genova, Italy

Game Overview

Lazio enters as slight favorites over Genoa in this Serie A matchup, reflecting Lazio's marginally better form and higher squad quality. However, Genoa's home advantage and current defensive resilience suggest a tightly contested game likely to have limited scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lazio currently hold a 1-0-3 record, sitting 13th with 3 points and a goal difference of 0; Genoa is 16th with 2 points from 0-2-2, scoring 2 and conceding 4, but showing defensive effort with a 69.2% save rate.
• Historically, Lazio have 10 wins to Genoa's 4 in 15 meetings, indicating Lazio's upper hand. Recent encounters suggest a competitive balance but with Lazio favored.
• Genoa lack key attackers like Maxwel Cornet and Fabio Miretti; Lazio are missing Mattia Zaccagni and Nuno Tavares, both impacting offensive creativity and width respectively.
• The game is at Genoa's home ground, which offers some psychological and tactical edge; no adverse weather or significant external disruptions reported.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their early-season standings; Lazio’s slight points edge and better form provide a psychological advantage, but Genoa's home fans could bolster motivation to avoid a home losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Genoa: +200, Lazio: +155, Draw: +200	Lazio	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Genoa: +110, Lazio: -130	Genoa +0	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over: -128, Under: +108	Under 2	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lazio 22%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio moneyline win, Genoa +0 spread, Under 2 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-1