Match Analysis: Pisa vs Cremonese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Arena Garibaldi, Pisa, Italy
Game Overview
Pisa and Cremonese face off in a Serie A match with contrasting recent forms; Pisa struggles near the bottom with 6 points (0W-6D-4L), while Cremonese holds a better mid-table position at 14 points (3W-5D-2L).
Key Factors to Consider
- Pisa exhibits poor recent form and low scoring, having failed to secure wins lately, whereas Cremonese shows more resilience and a stronger defensive record.
- Recent H2H data show balanced encounters, with neither side dominating decisively, indicating a competitive matchup that often ends in draws or narrow margins.
- No critical injuries reported for either side; lineups appear stable allowing both teams to field near full strength.
- Home advantage slightly favors Pisa, but their form undermines this; weather and pitch conditions at Arena Garibaldi expected to be neutral.
- Cremonese motivated to consolidate mid-table safety and push upward, while Pisa is under pressure to escape relegation zone, possibly affecting their risk-taking approach.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pisa: 124, Cremonese: 255, Draw: 205 | Pisa | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Pisa -0.25: -112, Cremonese +25: -108 | Pisa -0.25 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pisa 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Pisa win; Spread: Pisa -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0