Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA, USA
Game Overview
Philadelphia Union, currently top of the MLS standings with strong recent form, face New England Revolution, positioned in the lower half of the table. Philadelphia are favorites playing at home with strong defensive and offensive stats, while New England struggle away and have key absences affecting their lineup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union have won 17 of 30 matches with a +16 goal difference, showing consistent strength; New England Revolution have 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with a -5 goal difference, indicating struggles especially on the road.
- Recent H2H favors Philadelphia with them winning the majority of encounters, including this season's matchups. Historical data supports Philadelphia dominance.
- No major absences reported for Philadelphia; New England have some key players sidelined reducing attacking options and midfield stability.
- Philadelphia benefit from playing at home in familiar conditions at Subaru Park, which historically boosts their performance; no significant external disruptions noted.
- Philadelphia Union are pushing for top playoff positioning motivating strong performance; New England Revolution have minimal playoff chances, potentially less motivated.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union: -190, New England Revolution: 450, Draw: 350 | Philadelphia Union | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Philadelphia Union -1.5: 130, New England Revolution +1.5: -172 | Philadelphia Union -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: 132, Under 3.5: -175 | Under 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union to win outright on moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, and under 3.5 goals total
Predicted Score: 2-0