Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Game Overview
Philadelphia Union hosts Colorado Rapids in an MLS Eastern vs Western Conference clash. Philadelphia, in strong form and vying for the top Eastern Conference spot, is favored against a playoff-pushing Colorado side that recently drew a high-scoring match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union holds a superior season record (14-5-5) with a strong defense, conceding less than 1 goal per game, and solid attack with 40 goals scored. Colorado Rapids (8-6-10) are less consistent but showed resilience in a 3-3 draw versus Seattle.
- Philadelphia dominates recent meetings, with no losses in last five encounters and an overall historic edge (16 wins to Colorado's 5). The last meeting ended 2-2 in August 2024.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side; both expected to field standard starting goalkeepers Andrew Rick (Philadelphia) and Zack Steffen (Colorado).
- Match played at Philadelphiaβs home venue Subaru Park, giving the Union home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions likely neutral.
- Philadelphia can move to top of Eastern Conference with a win, boosting motivation; Colorado also motivated for playoff points but less favored.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union: -170, Draw: 360, Colorado Rapids: 400 | Philadelphia Union | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Philadelphia Union -1: -108, Colorado Rapids +1: -112 | Philadelphia Union -1 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3.25: 100, Under 3.25: -120 | Over 3.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread, and the total goals will go over 3.25
Predicted Score: 3-1 Philadelphia Union