Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Game Overview
Philadelphia Union host Chicago Fire in an MLS matchup with Philadelphia favored due to superior form, goal differential, and home advantage. Chicago has been solid defensively but less prolific offensively compared to Philadelphia.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union hold a 15-6-6 record with 51 points, averaging 1.89 points/match, scoring 44 goals and conceding 26, showing strong attacking and defensive stats. Chicago Fire are 11-6-9 with 39 points, ranking mid-table and having a save rate of 62.1%, but their goal-scoring and overall form are less consistent.
- Recent H2H encounters favor Philadelphia with them ranking 2nd in MLS versus Chicagoβs 9th position. Philadelphia also won both latest meetings this season.
- No major injury updates reported impacting starting goalkeepers or key players for either side, allowing both teams to field strong lineups.
- Match at home for Philadelphia at Subaru Park, providing home-field advantage. Weather or other disruptions not reported, normal playing conditions expected.
- Philadelphia fighting for higher playoff seeding motivation, while Chicago seeks to secure or improve a mid-table finish, slightly less intense compared to Philadelphiaβs stakes.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union -118, Chicago Fire +275, Draw +300 | Philadelphia Union | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Philadelphia Union -0.5 -123, Chicago Fire +50 -108 | Philadelphia Union -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 +134, Under 3.5 -179 | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union to win on Moneyline, Philadelphia Union -0.5 spread, and Under 3.5 total goals
Predicted Score: 2-1 Philadelphia Union