Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Subaru Park
Game Overview
Philadelphia Union hosts CF Montreal in an MLS Eastern Conference clash at Subaru Park. Philadelphia is in strong current form and coming off a convincing 2-0 win over New York Red Bulls. CF Montreal has had mixed recent results. The home team is favored by the market.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union is in good recent form, demonstrated by a 2-0 win vs NY Red Bulls. CF Montreal has a less consistent record recently.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia Union has a moderate advantage, but results are not overwhelmingly one-sided.
- No major reported injuries that significantly shift expectations for either side.
- No notable external factors (weather, venue, crowd impact) expected to influence the game.
- Philadelphia Union is motivated to solidify playoff position. CF Montreal needs points to stay in contention.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union -185 | Draw 350 | CF Montreal 460 | Philadelphia Union | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Philadelphia Union -1 (-115) | CF Montreal +1 (-105) | CF Montreal +1 (Montreal wins or loses by less than 1 goal) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3 (102) | Under 3 (-122) | Under 3 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union is expected to control the game, leveraging home advantage and recent form. Goals are forecasted, but the match may be tighter than some expect.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Philadelphia Union