Match Analysis: PFC Ludogorets Razgrad vs Real Betis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Game Overview
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad will host Real Betis in the UEFA Europa League league phase. Ludogorets have shown strong home form recently with several wins and draws, while Real Betis comes with a mixed form of draws, wins, and a recent loss. Their previous encounters show Real Betis with a slight edge, including a win and a draw in two meetings, and higher scoring games overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ludogorets have a solid defensive record with only 1 goal conceded in the group phase so far, while Real Betis shows moderate form with a mix of draws, wins, and a single loss recently. Ludogorets have a dominance in possession and passing accuracy at home but face a technically strong Betis side.
- They have faced each other twice before in UEFA competitions with Real Betis winning one match and drawing another. The last meeting was a 2-1 win for Ludogorets at home, but Betis secured an 8-3 victory at home, indicating Betis' attacking strength in away matches as well.
- No specific major injuries reported for either side from available data.
- The match is played at Ludogorets' home ground, Huvepharma Arena, which could provide a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected normal with no adverse factors noted.
- Both teams aim to strengthen their positions in the Europa League group standings. Ludogorets strive to leverage home advantage for a positive result, while Real Betis looks to assert their superior overall group form and head-to-head history.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 320, away: -128, draw: 280 | Real Betis win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | home: 75 -128, away: -0.75 -102 | Real Betis -0.75 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over: 2.5 -118, under: 2.5 -112 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Betis -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Real Betis at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Betis is favored to win given odds and historical data, with a moderately confident expectation of a competitive match possibly decided by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: 1-2