Match Analysis: Peñarol Montevideo vs Olimpia Asunción – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 14 May 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Campeon del Siglo, Montevideo
Game Overview
This match is part of the Copa Libertadores 2025, where Peñarol Montevideo, with better odds and home advantage, faces Olimpia Asunción, which is currently struggling in their group. The previous match between them ended in a 0-0 draw.
Key Factors to Consider
- Peñarol has generally a stronger position and performance in the tournament compared to Olimpia Asunción, which remains at the bottom of Group H with limited success.
- The most recent encounter between these two teams was a 0-0 draw, indicating a potential defensive strategy from both sides.
- Specific injury details are not available. However, any significant absences could impact team dynamics.
- Playing at home for Peñarol often offers an advantage, while Olimpia must navigate away from their local support.
- Both teams have strong motivations to win, but Peñarol's drive might be slightly higher due to the home advantage and current standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -115 / 330 / 230 | Peñarol Montevideo win | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Spread | -0.5 -118 / 50 -112 | Peñarol Montevideo | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | 2 -130 / 2 100 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 51% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Peñarol Montevideo -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Peñarol Montevideo is expected to win due to better odds, home field advantage, and slightly superior standing in the tournament.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Peñarol Montevideo