Match Analysis: Parma vs Torino – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-29
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Ennio Tardini, Parma, Italy
Game Overview
Parma and Torino meet in a Serie A match with Parma struggling in 18th place and fighting relegation, while Torino are mid-table in 12th place. Parma has not won in their last four Serie A matches and failed to win any home games at their stadium this season. Torino has mixed form away but has won at least one away game so far.
Key Factors to Consider
- Parma is performing poorly with zero wins in last 4 matches and winless at home so far. Torino has shown moderate form with some away success but also inconsistency. Torino averages 0.25 goals per match, allowing 1.25 on average, while Parma scores 1.5 but concedes 1.22 goals per game historically in H2H.
- In the last 18 meetings, Parma has 7 wins, Torino 4, with 7 draws. Recent encounters since 2020 show no win for Parma in 4 matches, including two draws and two losses. Their last two fixtures ended 0-0 and 2-2 draws. Parma slightly edges in overall historical goals scored (27 to 22).
- No specific injury data is provided in the available sources, indicating likely no major absences or undisclosed information.
- Parma plays at their home stadium, Ennio Tardini, which has not brought them good results this season. Torino travels with some confidence from previous away games but faces a side desperate to climb from relegation zone.
- Parma is highly motivated to gain points to avoid relegation, while Torino might be less pressured but looking to consolidate mid-table stability. Parma's urgency to avoid relegation could spur a stronger performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Parma: 1.31, Torino: 2.35, Draw: 2.1 | Parma win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Parma: -0.25 -105, Torino: +25 -115 | Parma -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Parma 27% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Parma at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be tight given Parma's urgency but Turinβs steadier form. A draw or narrow win for either side is likely, with the under 2.25 goals favored given recent low-scoring H2H and season trends.
Predicted Score: 1-1