Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Nice – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Parc des Princes
Game Overview
Paris Saint-Germain host Nice in a pivotal Ligue 1 clash. PSG, despite recent draws, remain favorites at home, while Nice have shown resilience and attacking form lately. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of finding the net.
Key Factors to Consider
- PSG are unbeaten at home in Ligue 1 and have won 6 of their last 10, but have drawn 3 of their last 4 league games. Nice have won 3 in a row after a poor start, but have lost 5 of their 7 away matches and conceded 2+ goals in 6 of those.
- Nice beat PSG at Parc des Princes last season, showing they can compete. However, PSG have dominated the recent H2H record overall.
- No major injuries reported for either side, both teams are at full strength.
- PSG are under pressure to maintain their league lead, with several teams within 3 points. Nice are motivated to continue their resurgence and challenge the top.
- PSG need a win to stay ahead in the title race, while Nice aim to prove their recent form is sustainable against the champions.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nice: 850, Paris Saint Germain: -415, Draw: 550 | Paris Saint Germain | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Nice: 1.75 -102, Paris Saint Germain: -1.75 -118 | Paris Saint Germain -1.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 3.5 -105, Under: 3.5 -115 | Over 3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paris Saint Germain -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
PSG to win and over 3.5 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1