Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Angers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Parc des Princes
Game Overview
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) hosts Angers in the Ligue 1 Round 2 match at Parc des Princes. PSG is historically dominant over Angers with 19 wins and 1 draw in their last 20 meetings. PSG has a strong recent form, scoring 9 goals in the last 5 matches, while Angers is currently competitive in Ligue 1, sitting 2nd and contending for a Champions League spot.
Key Factors to Consider
- PSG shows superior form, boasting multiple recent wins including a 4-0 victory over Real Madrid and a solid defensive record with clean sheets. Angers has a respectable league position but lower goal output and higher goals conceded. PSG averages around 2.4 goals scored per match in the recent head-to-head context, conceding very few.
- PSG has never lost to Angers in the past 20 meetings (19 wins, 1 draw). Recent matches confirm PSG's dominance with multiple wins by comfortable margins, including 4-2 and 3-0 scores in recent seasons.
- PSG faces minor absences with Presnel Kimpembe sidelined due to a virus and Senny Mayulu out with a thigh injury until late August. Angers injury status is less clear but no major reported absences affecting key players.
- The match is at PSGβs home ground, Parc des Princes, giving the home side a notable advantage. PSG is motivated to maintain their winning streak in Ligue 1 and build momentum early in the season.
- PSG aims to reaffirm their dominance in Ligue 1 and strengthen their squad morale after mixed pre-season results. Angers is motivated by their high league standing and ambition to secure Champions League qualification.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Angers: 19, Paris Saint Germain: -13, Draw: 10 | Paris Saint Germain to win | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Angers +2.75: -112, Paris Saint Germain -2.75: -108 | Paris Saint Germain -2.75 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 3.75: -120, Under 3.75: 100 | Over 3.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paris Saint Germain -16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.75 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Paris Saint Germain is highly favored to win the match comfortably due to superior form, dominant head-to-head record, home advantage, and squad quality.
Predicted Score: Paris Saint Germain 4 – 1 Angers