Match Analysis: Paris FC vs Rennes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Game Overview
A Ligue 1 match between Paris FC and Rennes held at Stade Jean Bouin. Paris FC shows a mixed recent form at home, while Rennes is currently undefeated in their last 2 matches and exhibits strong goal-scoring and goal-conceding stats away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Paris FC has a 2-2-1 record in their last 5 games with 1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per home game. Rennes is unbeaten in last 2, with an average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per away game but showing consistent over 2.5 goal games lately.
- Recent head-to-heads show a balanced rivalry with Paris FC winning 2 and losing 2 in last 5 encounters. Both teams frequently score, and games often exceed 2.5 goals.
- No specific injury data found for critical players; current lineups indicate availability of key attackers such as Maxime Lopez (Paris FC) and Esteban Lepaul (Rennes).
- Match played in Paris home ground favors Paris FC slightly. No noted weather or logistical issues affecting the game.
- Rennes likely motivated to maintain their unbeaten run and capitalize on recent good form to climb Ligue 1 standings, while Paris FC seeks to use home advantage to break recent inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paris FC: +116, Rennes: +215, Draw: +250 | Paris FC | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Paris FC -0.25: -112, Rennes +25: -108 | Paris FC -0.25 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 | Over 2.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paris FC 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 29% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Paris FC to win on the moneyline, with expectation of a competitive match featuring multiple goals (over 2.75).
Predicted Score: 2-1