Match Analysis: PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-24
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki, Greece
Game Overview
UEFA Europa League group stage match between PAOK, ranked 24th, and Maccabi Tel Aviv, ranked 19th, both clubs coming off strong qualifying campaigns with contrasting recent league forms. PAOK shows solid defensive and attacking form at home while Maccabi has demonstrated resilience but mixed results in recent fixtures.
Key Factors to Consider
- PAOK is strong at home with recent wins in Greek Super League and Europa League qualifiers, including a 5-0 win versus Rijeka. Maccabi Tel Aviv has recent wins in Europa League qualifiers but lost their last away game. PAOKβs home advantage and recent scoring form give them an edge.
- Limited direct H2H data available. Both teams have faced each other in previous seasons with tightly contested matches. No clear dominance from either side historically, making this encounter likely to be highly competitive.
- No specific injury data provided in available search results; assume both squads are near full strength given the importance of the Europa League group stage opener.
- Match at PAOKβs home Toumba Stadium provides a strong home crowd atmosphere. Weather or travel issues are not reported. Both teams motivated to begin Europa League group phase positively.
- Both teams motivated to secure early points in the group. PAOK aims to leverage home advantage to get a winning start, while Maccabi Tel Aviv looks to prove their ability to compete away from home in European competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | PAOK: -155, Draw: 300, Maccabi Tel Aviv: 422 | PAOK win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | PAOK: -0.75 -116, Maccabi Tel Aviv: 75 -104 | PAOK -0.75 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -103, Under 2.75: -117 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | PAOK -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
PAOK is favored to win due to home form and squad momentum, but a draw is a realistic outcome given Maccabi's competitive qualifying performance. A tight match with moderate scoring is expected.
Predicted Score: 2-1