Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Ceará – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Parque
Game Overview
Palmeiras hosting Ceará in Serie A Round 19 with Palmeiras historically dominant at home and having won the last 3 encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Palmeiras sits 3rd with 33 points from 16 matches (10W-3D-3L), scoring 21 goals and conceding 14. They are in decent form (ldwwwd). Ceará is 11th with 22 points from 17 matches (6W-4D-7L), more inconsistent with a 3W-2L recent split.
- Palmeiras leads the H2H with 11 wins to Ceará's 4, and 5 draws out of 20 meetings. Palmeiras have won the last 3 matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Ceará's 1.1.
- No specific major injuries reported for either side ahead of the clash, lineups expected close to full strength.
- The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground Allianz Parque, giving them a home advantage backed by strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal.
- Palmeiras motivated to maintain top table position and push for title; Ceará fighting to climb away from the mid-table logjam.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras -205, Draw 320, Ceará 600 | Palmeiras | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Palmeiras -1 -115, Ceará +1 -105 | Palmeiras -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win on the moneyline and cover the -1 spread; match to stay under 2.25 total goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0