Match Analysis: Oxford United vs Millwall – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Kassam Stadium
Game Overview
A closely matched Championship fixture between two mid-table teams, Oxford United and Millwall have demonstrated modest scoring and conceding records recently, suggesting a low to moderate scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oxford United has averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home over their last 10 matches, while Millwall averages 1.2 goals scored and conceded on the road. Both teams show limited high-scoring games, rarely exceeding 2 goals.
- Historically, the teams are almost even with Oxford winning 3, Millwall 2, and 2 draws in their last 7 meetings. Oxford has a slight edge in recent head-to-head outcomes and points per game.
- No explicit injury information available currently for either side, implying no major absences affecting the lineups.
- Match played at Oxford's home ground, The Kassam Stadium, possibly favoring the home side. No significant external factors such as weather or scheduling disruptions noted.
- Both sides have similar mid-table league motivation with Millwall having recent stronger form wins, but Oxford's slight advantage at home and previous victories against Millwall indicate solid motivation to perform.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oxford United: 175, Millwall: 157, Draw: 200 | Oxford United | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Oxford United 0: -102, Millwall 0: -118 | Oxford United 0 (Draw No Bet) | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oxford United 21% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oxford United at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oxford United to win a low scoring game
Predicted Score: 1-0