Match Analysis: Oxford United vs Derby County – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Unknown
Game Overview
This EFL Championship match between Oxford United and Derby County presents a competitive fixture with both teams having differing odds and form going into the game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oxford United is currently favored with odds of +151, indicating a slightly stronger recent performance. Derby County, however, is valued at +200, suggesting a potential underdog story.
- Insufficient recent head-to-head data is available, making it challenging to derive insights solely from past matchups.
- No specific injury reports are provided, but both teams will likely have players missing due to common football injuries.
- Weather and crowd support could influence the match, but no specific external factors are highlighted.
- Both teams are motivated to win, but Oxford United might have a slight edge due to being at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Derby +200, Oxford +151, Draw +185 | Oxford United | β β β ββ 63% |
Spread | Derby 0 +111, Oxford 0 -132 | Derby +0 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2 -108, Under 2 -112 | Under 2 | β β β ββ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Oxford United 38% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oxford United at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oxford United is predicted to win due to their home advantage and slightly favorable odds.
Predicted Score: 1-0 to Oxford United