Match Analysis: Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, USA
Game Overview
Orlando City SC, currently ranked 8th in MLS, hosts the New England Revolution, ranked 9th, in a mid-table clash. Both teams are closely matched in the standings. Home advantage and recent form will be critical factors in this encounter, as both sides look to push into the upper half of the table. The match is set at Exploria Stadium, where Orlando has a strong record, which may influence the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Orlando City SC and New England Revolution are closely matched in recent form and league position. Orlando's home record is strong, while New England has struggled at times on the road. Squad depth and consistency in performance are key, with both teams relying on core starters due to league salary restrictions.
- Head-to-head records show a fairly balanced history, with both teams having secured wins in recent encounters. No clear dominance exists, but Orlando tends to perform better at home.
- No major injury updates are available from the latest public sources.
- Weather conditions in Orlando are expected to be favorable for soccer. The crowd at Exploria Stadium is known to provide strong home support, which can impact momentum.
- Both teams are motivated to climb the table and will view this as a winnable match. Orlando's home ambition and New England's desire to improve their road record add to the competitive edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution: 400, Orlando City SC: -155, Draw: 320 | Orlando City SC | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | New England Revolution: 75 102, Orlando City SC: -0.75 -122 | Orlando City SC -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over: 2.75 -105, Under: 2.75 -115 | Under 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Orlando City SC -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Orlando City SC is favored at home given their strong home record and slightly better league position. The match is expected to be close, with Orlando more likely to edge out a win, but a draw or narrow New England victory cannot be ruled out.
Predicted Score: Orlando City SC 2-1 New England Revolution