Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: City Ground Stadium
Game Overview
Manchester United enters as the clear favorite to win against Nottingham Forest, who have struggled this season with poor offensive output and defensive vulnerability. United’s recent form is strong with a higher goal-scoring rate and improved defense, while Forest have a very low scoring average and have lost most of their matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manchester United have 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses with a 1.67 goals per game average and conceding 1.56. Nottingham Forest stand at 1 win, 2 draws, 6 losses, scoring only 0.56 goals per game and conceding 1.89 goals per game.
- Manchester United have dominated historically against Nottingham Forest, winning 12 of the last 15 matches, though Forest won both meetings last season, including a 1-0 home win and 3-2 away win.
- Nottingham Forest are missing Ola Aina and Dilane Bakwa, with doubts over Chris Wood and Oleksandr Zinchenko. Manchester United could have Harry Maguire returning but Lisandro Martínez remains sidelined.
- The match is at Nottingham Forest’s City Ground, but recent performances at home have shown vulnerabilities including heavy defeats. Manchester United’s midfield creativity and key attackers are fit and in form.
- Manchester United currently hold 6th place with ambitions to climb higher and maintain form. Nottingham Forest have motivation as home underdogs to upset but overall seem less confident given poor recent results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +228, draw: +260, away: +105 | Away | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Manchester United -0.5: +102, Nottingham Forest +50: -135 | Manchester United -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over 2.5: -141, under 2.5: +107 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester United 123% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 28% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Manchester United at 123% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manchester United win
Predicted Score: Manchester United 2 – 1 Nottingham Forest