Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: City Ground
Game Overview
Nottingham Forest faces Chelsea in their final Premier League match of the season, with Chelsea looking to secure a strong finish after a challenging campaign. The Blues have been busy, contesting the Conference League final just days before this match. Nottingham Forest, having overachieved this season, may have less pressure on them compared to Chelsea, who are favored to win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chelsea has shown strong attacking form this season, with Cole Palmer creating 87 chances in the Premier League, the most by a Chelsea player since Mason Mount in 2020-21. Nottingham Forest, however, will be without key players like Taiwo Awoniyi due to injury.
- Nottingham Forest has won just one of their last seven Premier League games against Chelsea, with a recent 1-0 win at Stamford Bridge in September 2023. Chelsea won the reverse fixture 3-2 in the 2023-24 campaign.
- Nottingham Forest is missing Taiwo Awoniyi, while defender Murillo is doubtful. Chelsea has doubts over Christopher Nkunku and Marc Guiu, with Nicolas Jackson suspended.
- Chelsea's involvement in the Conference League final could impact their performance, as they may have fatigued players.
- Chelsea is under more pressure to perform well, given their expectations for the season. Nottingham Forest, having overachieved, may have less pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chelsea: 115, Nottingham Forest: 204, Draw: 265 | Chelsea | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Chelsea: -0.5 111, Nottingham Forest: 50 -148 | Chelsea | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 -152, Under: 2.5 114 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chelsea -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Chelsea at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chelsea is favored to win this match due to their strong attacking capabilities and despite potential fatigue from the Conference League final.
Predicted Score: Chelsea 2, Nottingham Forest 1