Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Brentford – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England
Game Overview
Opening Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Brentford at Nottingham's City Ground. Both teams showed competitive form last season, with Nottingham Forest being slightly favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nottingham Forest scored 58 goals last season, ranking ninth in the league, conceding 1.2 goals per game (6th best defensively). Brentford scored 1.7 goals per game (5th best offensively) but conceded 57 goals (13th). Recent form for Brentford shows stronger momentum.
- In the last 13 meetings, Brentford leads with 6 wins to Nottingham Forest's 4, with 3 draws, indicating a closely contested rivalry.
- No significant injury updates reported for either team, suggesting likely full-strength squads for the opener.
- Match is at Nottinghamβs home ground which can provide home advantage. No notable external disturbances expected.
- As season opener, both teams motivated to start strongly, but Nottingham Forest may have extra incentive to impress at home after last seasonβs moderate success.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nottingham Forest 115, Draw 230, Brentford 232 | Nottingham Forest | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Nottingham Forest -0.5 @ 111, Brentford +50 @ -148 | Nottingham Forest -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -108, Under 2.5 -122 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nottingham Forest 12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nottingham Forest at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nottingham Forest to win moneyline with a 1-0 victory, covering the -0.5 spread and goals going over 2.5.
Predicted Score: 1-0