Match Analysis: Norwich City vs Leicester City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Carrow Road, Norwich
Game Overview
Norwich City and Leicester City meet in a Championship clash with both sides struggling this season. Norwich has not won in 10 games, losing 7, and has lost all 7 home games this season. Leicester has a slight edge head-to-head historically and recently, but is in poor form with just 2 away wins this season and recent losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Norwich City is on a 10-game winless streak with poor home form (0-7-0). Leicester City also has poor form, with 2 away wins and 4 losses this campaign, recently losing 3 of their last 5 games.
- Leicester leads head-to-head historically, winning 27 of 62 meetings. Recently Leicester has dominated with 7 wins in last 9 matches. Norwich last won at home against Leicester in 2011. Leicester won the last 4 meetings, including 3-1 at home.
- No specific injury data available, but both teams have several key players receiving frequent cautions which may affect lineup choices and aggression levels.
- Match played at Carrow Road giving Norwich home advantage, but their home form is poor. No major external factors like weather or travel fatigue noted.
- Norwich is in relegation danger with urgent need to escape drop zone after long winless run. Leicester is trying to stabilize to push for promotion playoffs, facing pressure to halt poor away form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City: 128, Norwich City: 176, Draw: 260 | Leicester City | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Leicester City -0.25: 100, Norwich City +25: -120 | Leicester City -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -121, Under 2.5: 101 | Under 2.5 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City 19% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City to win
Predicted Score: 0-1