Match Analysis: Norwich City vs Bristol City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Carrow Road, Norwich, England
Game Overview
Norwich City, a struggling side in 19th place, hosts Bristol City, who sit 10th and are in strong away form, with recent results and head-to-head momentum favoring the visitors. Norwich have not won in their last five, while Bristol City have won their last two meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Norwich City are winless in their last five matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in that span, while Bristol City are coming off a win, have scored more goals recently, and have a solid away recordβranking 3rd away from home this season[2]. Norwich's home form is poor, and Bristol City's confidence is elevated by their recent head-to-head dominance[1][2].
- Bristol City have won the last two matchups, both by clean sheets[1][2]. Over a longer historical view, Norwich have the edge (10W-4D-5L), but recent form and current team dynamics favor Bristol City more heavily[1][2][6].
- No major injury news reported in available data. Assume both teams are at near-full strength for this analysis.
- No significant weather disruptions or stadium issues expected. The main factor is Norwich's home crowd, but their recent struggles may mute home-field advantage.
- Both teams are motivated, but Bristol City have a real chance to build on their recent success and climb the table, while Norwich are desperate to stop their slide and avoid relegation trouble.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bristol City +156 / Norwich City +146 / Draw +250 | Bristol City or Draw (Double Chance) | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Bristol City 0 (-105), Norwich City 0 (-115) | Bristol City 0 (Draw No Bet) | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 (+102), Under 2.75 (-122) | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bristol City 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bristol City, buoyed by recent form and head-to-head history against a struggling Norwich City, are expected to frustrate the hosts and secure at least a draw, with a slight edge for an outright away win.
Predicted Score: Bristol City 1 – 0 Norwich City