Match Analysis: Nice vs Brest – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice
Game Overview
The Ligue 1 match between Nice and Brest at Allianz Riviera will feature Nice, currently 4th with 57 points, hosting Brest, positioned 8th with 50 points. Nice have a strong home record and are in good form, while Brestβs form is mixed but includes notable away wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nice has solid home form with 10 home wins this season and an overall strong Ligue 1 record. Brest has a mixed form with 5 away wins, showing some ability to challenge on the road but less consistency than Nice.
- In the past 19 meetings, Nice leads with 8 wins to Brest's 4, along with 7 draws. Matches average around 2.1 goals. Nice tends to outscore Brest (1.21 goals per game to 0.89) and also concedes less on average at home (0.89 vs 1.21 for Brest).
- No explicit current injury data available for either team impacting this match.
- Playing at home provides Nice a significant advantage given their strong home form. Brest faces travel and hostile crowd challenges. No major external disruptions reported.
- Nice fights for a higher Champions League qualifying position, increasing motivation to secure maximum points. Brest aims to consolidate their mid-table status with European aspirations less likely this season, possibly slightly less motivated.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nice: -220, Brest: 500, Draw: 400 | Nice win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Nice: -1.25 -105, Brest: 1.25 -115 | Nice -1.25 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 3.25 102, Under: 3.25 -122 | Under 3.25 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nice -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.25 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nice is favored to win due to superior recent form, home advantage, and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups. A competitive match is expected, but the edge goes to Nice to secure three points.
Predicted Score: 2-1