Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Fulham – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: St James' Park
Game Overview
Newcastle United hosts Fulham in an EPL clash with Newcastle slightly favored given their recent Champions League momentum and home advantage, while Fulham struggles with form and defensive consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Newcastle has won 4 of their last 6 games across all competitions, including a recent 3-0 Champions League win and a mixed 2-0-2 Premier League home record. Fulham has lost three EPL matches in a row and has conceded in 21 straight away EPL matches as underdogs.
- Recent encounters favor Newcastle slightly; Newcastle performs well at home against mid-table teams and has edged out Fulham in previous EPL fixtures.
- Newcastle's squad is mostly fit with key players available; Fulhamβs Lewis Hall and Yoane Wissa remain sidelined but expected to return later, not impacting this match.
- Newcastle's Champions League success provides strong morale boost. Both teams face typical season pressures but no extreme external disruptions noted.
- Newcastle aims to bounce back from a narrow defeat and secure points to rise from 14th place. Fulham, also 14th, seeks to arrest a losing streak but faces tough away conditions.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -165, draw: 290, away: 420 | Newcastle United | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | home: -168, away: 126 | Newcastle United -0.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: -125, under: -106 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Newcastle United -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Newcastle United Moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-0