Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, USA
Game Overview
New York Red Bulls (10th in MLS standings) host Real Salt Lake (8th) at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Both teams seek valuable points in a mid-table clash after relatively recent encounters, with Real Salt Lake holding a slight positional advantage in the league. The game is expected to be competitive given recent performance trends and historical matchups.
Key Factors to Consider
- New York Red Bulls have shown inconsistent form but benefit from home advantage. Real Salt Lake are slightly better positioned at 8th place and have recent confidence from a 3-1 win against New York in July 2023. Leading scorers include E. Choupo-Moting (13 goals) for NYRB and D. Luna (8 goals) for RSL, indicating significant attacking threats on both sides.
- Recent direct meetings favor Real Salt Lake with their 3-1 victory over New York Red Bulls in July 2023. Historical H2H data suggests a balanced contest but with Real Salt Lake holding a psychological edge from that result.
- No specific injury reports available in the provided data, implying both teams likely have their main squad available.
- The match will be played under hot weather conditions (approx. 87Β°F). TV coverage is via Apple TV MLS Season Pass. Location is a neutral climate for both teams but could impose fitness test effects due to heat.
- Real Salt Lake's better league position and recent victory over New York Red Bulls increases their motivation, while New York aims to capitalize on home support to close the gap in standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | new_york_red_bulls: 109, real_salt_lake: 222, draw: 270 | New York Red Bulls win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | new_york_red_bulls: -0.5, odd_new_york: 104, real_salt_lake: 50, odd_real_salt_lake: -137 | New York Red Bulls -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: -167, under_2.5: 124 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Red Bulls 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Red Bulls at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Red Bulls to edge a close game given home advantage but Real Salt Lake will challenge strongly. Prediction favors a narrow New York Red Bulls win with potential for more than 2.5 goals scored.
Predicted Score: 2-1