Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Charlotte FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium
Game Overview
A high-stakes MLS Eastern Conference clash between in-form Charlotte FC and resilient New York City FC, both contending for top playoff positioning with Charlotte currently leading in momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC is on a historic 9-game winning streak, their best run ever, having scored 51 goals this season, showing superior offensive power. New York City FC have lost just once in their last eight games, indicating strong form and resilience at home.
- Out of seven prior meetings, Charlotte FC leads with five wins including a recent 2-1 victory in April 2024 at Yankee Stadium. This suggests Charlotte's tactical edge over New York City FC.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting key players, allowing both squads close to full strength.
- Playing at home provides New York City FC a slight venue advantage, but Charlotte's confidence and recent form mitigate this. Both teams' motivation is high due to playoff implications.
- Both teams are highly motivated; Charlotte aims to extend their winning streak and consolidate a top-four spot, while New York City FC seek to capitalize on home games and close the points gap with matches in hand.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC: 265, New York City FC: -104, Draw: 260 | Charlotte FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Charlotte FC +50: -122, New York City FC -0.5: -109 | Charlotte FC +0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -149, Under 2.5: 113 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 83% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charlotte FC at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC to win
Predicted Score: New York City FC 1 – 2 Charlotte FC