Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-19
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Game Overview
The MLS match between New England Revolution and Orlando City SC is set to take place at Gillette Stadium on July 19, 2025. Orlando City SC currently holds a stronger season record with 9-8-5 and 35 points compared to New England Revolutionβs 6-7-8 and 25 points, indicating Orlando Cityβs better form in the league. Both teams have key attacking players with Orlando City's Marco Pasalic and Martin Ojeda leading in goals and assists, while New England is struggling to maintain consistent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Orlando City SC is performing better overall this season with more wins and points, and key players Pasalic and Ojeda contributing significantly to goals and assists. New England Revolution has a mixed record with a relatively weaker recent form and fewer points overall.
- Recent direct matches favor Orlando City SC, with Orlando demonstrating a competitive edge in away games. Historical data reflects a slight advantage for Orlando City in this matchup.
- No specific injury data is currently available from provided sources, suggesting no significant injuries heavily impacting either side as of this date.
- The game is played at New Englandβs home ground, potentially giving the Revolution some home advantage. Orlando Cityβs midweek fixture schedule may affect fatigue levels, but their motivation remains high after strong performances recently. Weather or other external conditions were not indicated as significant.
- Orlando City SC is motivated to maintain their superior league standing and capitalize on New Englandβs inconsistencies, while New England Revolution will be eager to defend home turf and improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England Revolution: 190, Orlando City SC: 135, Draw: 255 | Orlando City SC Win | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | New England Revolution: -0.25 at -125, Orlando City SC: +25 at 105 | Orlando City SC -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -110, Under 2.75: -110 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orlando City SC 22% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Orlando City SC at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Orlando City's superior recent performance, more points in the league, and form of key players, the prediction favors an away win for Orlando City SC, though a close match is expected due to New England's home advantage.
Predicted Score: 1-2