Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs Los Angeles FC - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: New England Revolution Home Stadium
Game Overview
New England Revolution host Los Angeles FC in a pivotal MLS clash. Both teams have shown competitive form, but New England has a slight edge at home. Expect a tightly contested match with moderate scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Los Angeles FC holds a strong away record with quality attacking stats (projected goals ~1.14), but New England Revolution have a marginally better home performance with slightly higher win probabilities by narrow margins and better recent form.
- Historically close matchups with slight New England advantage in winning by 1 or 2 goals; overall, margins are tight with both teams having under 2 goals as common results.
- No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, keeping strongest squads intact and tactical setups stable.
- No severe weather or travel fatigue expected; typical MLS mid-August conditions that favor home team acclimatization.
- Both teams are motivated, with Los Angeles FC pushing to maintain playoff positioning while New England aims to capitalize on home advantage to improve standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles FC: 112, New England Revolution: 232, Draw: 248 | New England Revolution | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Los Angeles FC -0.5: 107, New England Revolution +50: -143 | New England Revolution +0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -141, Under 2.5: 105 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution 49% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New England Revolution at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution to win on the moneyline, cover +0.5 spread, and under 2.5 goals in total scored.
Predicted Score: New England Revolution 2 - 1 Los Angeles FC
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