Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs D.C. United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, USA
Game Overview
The Major League Soccer match between New England Revolution and D.C. United will take place at Gillette Stadium on August 9, 2025. New England Revolution currently ranks 11th in the MLS standings, while D.C. United occupies 14th position. The teams have recently faced each other in this season, with New England slightly favored due to home advantage and better form.
Key Factors to Consider
- New England Revolution has had a moderately better performance this season compared to D.C. United, reflected in their higher league ranking (11th vs 14th). Their home form is a strength as they play at Gillette Stadium. D.C. United has struggled more consistently and is underdogs.
- The teams have met once this season; historical encounters show competitive games but New England tends to have an edge hosting matches against D.C. United. Recent H2H data supports a slight advantage to the Revs.
- No specific injury data available from current sources, implying no major injury news announced publicly affecting starting lineups for either side.
- No reported weather or stadium issues expected. The game is part of a busy MLS schedule including Leagues Cup, which may impact squad rotations but no direct effects noted for this match.
- New England Revolution's motivation may be higher aiming for a stronger position in the league table and to capitalize on home advantage. D.C. United faces pressure to improve their low ranking, providing incentive to contest strongly.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England Revolution: -136, D.C. United: 330, Draw: 295 | New England Revolution win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | New England Revolution -0.5: -139, D.C. United +50: 104 | New England Revolution -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -149, Under 2.5: 112 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England Revolution 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution to win given their home advantage, better season performance, and slightly superior head-to-head record.
Predicted Score: 1-0