Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs D.C. United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Game Overview
New England Revolution, playing at home, face a mid-to-lower table D.C. United side. New England are slight favorites based on betting odds and home advantage. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, but New England has a stronger offense and better overall standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- New England Revolution have had inconsistent recent form but maintain a higher league position, with a stronger attack and defense metrics. D.C. United have struggled with consistency and form, and their away record is weaker.
- Historically, New England have an advantage in head-to-head matchups, especially at home, with more wins and better goal difference in recent encounters.
- No major injuries reported for New England Revolution, retaining full strength. D.C. United are missing one midfielder due to injury, slightly weakening their midfield control.
- Home advantage for New England at Gillette Stadium is significant. Weather is expected to be mild, with no external disruptions or travel fatigue reported.
- New England are motivated to maintain playoff positioning; D.C. United appear less motivated as they are out of playoff contention and may rotate squad.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution: -136, D.C. United: 330, Draw: 295 | New England Revolution | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | New England Revolution -0.5: -139, D.C. United +50: 104 | New England Revolution -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 goals: -149, Under 2.5 goals: 112 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 38% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with the match staying under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0